Newsletter ISR toc alert


International Statistical Review
Volume 88, Issue S1
“Data Science versus Classical Inference: Prediction, Estimation, and Attribution”, honouring Prof. Brad Efron’s International Prize in Statistics in 2019

Pages: S1-S224 December 2020

Issue Information

Free Access

Issue Information

First Published: 29 December 2020



Scott H. Holan, Nalini Ravishanker

Pages: S1 | First Published: 23 November 2020


An Interview with Bradley Efron

Balasubramanian Narasimhan

Pages: S2-S27 | First Published: 22 November 2020

Original Article

Prediction, Estimation, and Attribution

Bradley Efron

Pages: S28-S59 | First Published: 29 December 2020

Discussion on Prediction, Estimation, and Attributions

Discussion of the Paper “Prediction, Estimation, and Attribution” by B. Efron

Emmanuel Candès, Chiara Sabatti

Pages: S60-S63 | First Published: 29 December 2020

Open Access

Discussion of Paper by Brad Efron

D. R. Cox

Pages: S64 | First Published: 29 December 2020

Comment: When Is It Data Science and When Is It Data Engineering?

Noel Cressie

Pages: S65-S69 | First Published: 29 December 2020


A. C. Davison

Pages: S70-S72 | First Published: 29 December 2020

Discussion of “Prediction, Estimation, and Attribution” by Bradley Efron

Jerome Friedman, Trevor Hastie, Robert Tibshirani

Pages: S73-S74 | First Published: 29 December 2020

Discussion of Professor Bradley Efron’s Article on “Prediction, Estimation, and Attribution”

Min‐ge Xie, Zheshi Zheng

Pages: S75-S82 | First Published: 29 December 2020

The Data Science Process: One Culture

Bin Yu, Rebecca Barter

Pages: S83-S86 | First Published: 29 December 2020

Rejoinder to Prediction, Estimation, and Attribution


Bradley Efron

Pages: S87-S90 | First Published: 29 December 2020

Original Articles

Double Empirical Bayes Testing

Wesley Tansey, Yixin Wang, Raul Rabadan, David Blei

Pages: S91-S113 | First Published: 25 November 2020

Deconfounding and Causal Regularisation for Stability and External Validity

Peter Bühlmann, Domagoj Ćevid

Pages: S114-S134 | First Published: 05 November 2020

Stable Discovery of Interpretable Subgroups via Calibration in Causal Studies

Raaz Dwivedi, Yan Shuo Tan, Briton Park, Mian Wei, Kevin Horgan, David Madigan, Bin Yu

Pages: S135-S178 | First Published: 22 December 2020

Modern Strategies for Time Series Regression

Stephanie Clark, Rob J. Hyndman, Dan Pagendam, Louise M. Ryan

Pages: S179-S204 | First Published: 03 December 2020

Reluctant Generalised Additive Modelling

J. Kenneth Tay, Robert Tibshirani Pages: S205-S224 | First Published: 22 November 2020

Mailings for WSC

ISI WSC 2021 - Virtual          ISI

Virtual 63rd ISI World Statistics Congress 2021
Statistics and Data Science for a Better World

Invitation to Submit Contributed Talks/Posters for WSC 2021 Submissions due: 22 March 2021

The 63rd ISI WSC 2021 will be held 11–16 July as a virtual conference. The WSC theme “Statistics and Data Science for a Better World” highlights the developments and contributions of statistics and data science in various domains of application that impact all aspects of life. The Chair of the Scientific Programme Committee (SPC), Nalini Ravishanker, invites the statistical community to submit proposals for Contributed Paper/Poster Sessions (CPS).

Please use the CPS Submission System.

Talks and presentations

The 63rd ISI WSC 2021 will host talks and presentations on a wide variety of topics, with the overall goal of presenting a balanced programme that provides a sense of the current state and future direction of statistics, data science and their applications. The programme will span sectors of practice including academia, business, industry, government and official statistics along with the breadth of ISI and Associations affiliated with ISI. Topics include but are not limited to official statistics, survey statistics, environmental statistics, business and industrial applications of statistics, mathematical statistics, probability, statistics and data science education, statistical literacy and statistical computing and data visualization.


Contributed Papers/Posters can be submitted by any individual. Presentation will be done during a session or as a poster presentation (preference can be indicated in the submission system).

The contributed papers and posters will be combined with other submissions into a Contributed Paper Session or Poster Session with as much similarity in topic coverage as possible. For these sessions, a pre-recorded video of the talk is required 6 weeks in advance of the WSC. The decision regarding the presentation mode for each accepted abstract/paper will be taken by the Scientific Programme Committee (SPC) considering the author’s request, but also considering demand and capacity constraints.

Your submission should include a title and an abstract (with maximum 5 keywords) to be uploaded in one PDF file.

Short paper

In order to be included in the WSC proceedings, a short paper (maximum of 4 pages) will need to be included in the abstract PDF. The paper must not have been published in any other conference proceedings or publication before the 63rd WSC. The copyright for the abstracts and papers in the proceedings resides jointly with the authors and the ISI. Authors are free to publish expanded versions of the material elsewhere. Only the title and abstract are needed if you do not wish to be included in the WSC proceedings.

Once accepted, a contributed paper will be listed in the programme and presented as a:

  • Contributed Paper (Oral Presentation): A traditional paper format where the presenter will discuss a series of slides in a pre-recorded video. Duration: maximum 7 minutes.

Or a:

  • Poster Presentation (E-Poster): A single image with an optional 3–5 minutes pre-recorded commentary that delegates could listen to.

Guidelines and more information

Please refer to the Guidelines for CPS for more details.

Please use the CPS Submission System to submit your contributed paper/poster proposal. You will need to create a new account with e-mail and password for this system. (If you previously submitted an IPS proposal via the IPS Submission System, please note that account will not work for the CPS.)

Additional information on the format of the video recording will be made available once the contributed programme is finalised.

If you are included in the contributed paper/poster programme, you must register and pay for the Virtual WSC by 15 May 2021. Only the papers with at least one registered speaker/presenter will be included in the scientific programme. Important dates for the WSC are also available online. Any funding opportunities for delegates to apply to cover the registration fee will be announced on the registration web page.

General enquiries about the Scientific Programme should be directed to Nalini Ravishanker at

We look forward to receiving your submissions!

John Bailer
International Statistical Institute President (ISI)

Nalini Ravishanker
Scientific Programme Committee Chair (SPC)

Mailings for ISI


Dear Members,

The International Statistical Institute has a number of awards and prizes running currently, to be presented at the Virtual ISI World Statistics Congress 2021. The details are presented below. We invite you to apply or nominate a colleague for one of these awards and prizes, and would also appreciate it if you could circulate the information among those who might be interested.

Kind regards,
Ada van Krimpen
ISI Director

Mahalanobis International Award

The award recognizes an individual for lifetime achievements in statistics in a developing country or region and is sponsored by the Ministry of Statistics and Programme Implementation of the Government of India. The deadline for nominations is 15 February 2021More>>

Founders of Statistics Prize for Contemporary Research Contributions

The Founders of Statistics Prize for Contemporary Research Contributions is given in honor of the Founders of Statistics. It recognizes a research contribution that has had profound influence on statistical theory, methodology, practice, or applications. The deadline for nominations is 15 February 2021More>>

Jan Tinbergen Awards for Young Statisticians

The ISI Jan Tinbergen Awards are an opportunity for young statisticians to present their papers at the biennial World Statistics Congresses (WSC). The awards are named after the famous Dutch econometrician and Nobel Prize winner, and are sponsored by the Dutch ‘Stichting Internationaal Statistisch Studiefonds’ (International Statistical Study Fund Foundation). The deadline for applications is 15 February 2021More>>

ISI and Esri Spatial Thinking Student Competition

ISI and Esri are sponsoring the 2020/21 Spatial Thinking Student Competition. Entry topics may include statistics and data science or focus on areas of the economy, society, and the environment. We especially encourage submissions around the topics of International Year of Women in Statistics and Data Science, urban planning, sustainable development, health, and disasters of all kinds. Apply before 1 March 2021 to ensure your chance to participate. More>>

Mailings for IASE

IASE          ISI

Dear IASE members,

Blah blah blah blah blah blah blah blah blah blah blah blah blah blah blah blah blah blah blah blah blah blah blah blah blah blah blah blah blah blah blah blah blah…

Best regards and stay safe!

Joachim Engel
IASE President

Mailings for IASS

IASS          ISI

Dear members,

The IASS is pleased to announce its first Francophone Webinar called “The generalized weight share method and its applications” on  26 February 2021 at 14.00-15.00 (CET).

The moderator is Alina Matei (Université de Neuchâtel, Suisse) and the speakers are Pierre Lavallée (statisticien d’enquête, Canada) and Guillame Chauvet (ENSAI, IRMAR, France)

For more information (in French), including registration, please use the link below.

Kind regards,
Denise Silva, IASS President

Mailings for TIES

TIES          ISI

Dear TIES members,

REMINDER: Call for Nominations – Abdel El-Shaarawi Early Investigator Award – 2021

Deadline for submissions: 15th February 2021

The Abdel El-Shaarawi Early Investigator (AEEI) Award 2021 was established by the TIES Board in order to recognize and honor early investigators who have made outstanding contributions to the development of statistical and/or quantitative approaches for research in the environmental sciences.  The prestigious AEEI award 2021 is granted to a researcher, who is a TIES member for years 2020 and 2021, and has received their PhD within 12 years of the submission deadline (15th of February 2021) for nominations.

The ceremony will be at the TIES2021 Conference after the nominee’s scientific presentation.  

The award carries with it: a certificate and free registration for the TIES 2021 conference.

The award is made solely based on nominations received by the President of TIES before 15th February 2021.

The detailed criteria and nomination form, which includes information on the requirements for the nomination and submission details, is available at the following link:

Best wishes,

Lelys Bravo & Claire Miller
TIES President & Secretary; secretary@environmetrics

Mailings for IAOS

IAOS          ISI

Dear IAOS members,

I am pleased to inform you that the IAOS Nominating Committee chaired by Mario Palma has submitted the attached slate of candidates for the IAOS Executive Committee Members (2021-2023).  The number of candidates does not exceed the number of vacancies. In accordance with Article 7.6 of the IAOS Statutes all candidates in question are therefore declared elected without vote.

Kind regards,

Ada van Krimpen
ISI Director

Mailings for IASC

IASC          ISI

Dear IASC Members,

Some of you may have received some kind of spam or phishing email in my name that was tied to an upcoming webinar from IASC-LARS. This contained a lot of correct information about the webinar and a good imitation of my e-mail footer. However, that e-mail did not originate from me or anybody else on the IASC or ISI side. One fact the spammers overlooked in their e-mail is the “from” e-mail address that does not have anything in common with my actual e-mail address.

Whenever you receive unexpected e-mails from me or any other IASC or ISI officer, be critical. Visit the official IASC web site at and check whether something similar has been posted there or in the recent IASC or ISI news. We will never ask you to send any money or make any purchases on behalf of IASC.

If in doubt, reach out to someone on the IASC (or ISI) side via a known e-mail or phone number.

For those of you who have registered, I hope you will enjoy the upcoming IASC-LARS webinar on “Geostatistical Functional Data Analysis” – see more information here.

Best wishes,

Juergen Symanzik
IASC President 2019-2021

Mailings for BS

Bernoulli Society          ISI

Dear members of the Bernoulli Society,

Please find attached the latest issue of the Bernoulli e-Briefs .

Kind regards,

Carlos Améndola
Bernoulli Society e-Briefs Editor

Mailings for ISBIS

ISBIS          ISI

Dear ISBIS members,

I am delighted to inform you that y-BIS has organized a webinar on “Data Science in Tourism” to be held on 11 February 2021 at 2.00 pm Western Indonesian Time.

It would be great if you could share this announcement with everybody who might be interested. The webinar is free of charge and registrations should be done via the following link:

Attached pleased find a flyer with additional details. In the flyer, a shorter registration link is indicated for simplicity.

All the best,
Luca Frigau, Vice-President for y-BIS