Published three times a year, the ISI Newsletter provides a broad overview of the Institute's activities, and also includes additional information of interest to statisticians. The Newsletter is sent to all members of the ISI and its Sections (approx. 5,000) as part of their membership.
Editors: Dr. M.P.R. Van den Broecke and Mr. D. Berze. Copy Editor: René Keijser
In this online Issue Message from the President Message from the Director 53rd ISI Session—Seoul 2001 (Schedule) News of Members In Memoriam ISI Committee Matters Calendar of Events News from ISI sections Volume 25 No. 2 (74) 2001
Message from the President
In a few weeks time, the 53rd ISI Session (the 1st Session in this new century) will take place in Seoul. Our future hosts are now preparing the final steps of what they appropriately refer to as the “Statistical Olympics”. The ISI Permanent Office and Executive Committee have had frequent contacts with the National Organising Committee. During the last meeting of the EC, we had an excellent opportunity to appreciate their dedicated work and their superb efforts to ensure that the Session will be a wonderful success. The Programme Co-ordinating Committee has assembled a very large and fascinating collection of themes and the schedule for the scientific programme has been carefully organised by the Local Programme Committee. The Korean authorities are supporting this Session that will be held under the auspices of President of the Republic Kim Dae-Jung and have formed an Honorary Committee chaired by Prime Minister Han-Dong Lee, whom we had the occasion to meet last October. You may find useful information in the Information Bulletin #2 as well as in the Session's Web site http://www.nso.go.kr/isi2001 . This Session promises to be a memorable one from several perspectives and I look forward to meeting many of you in Seoul next August.
I'd like to draw your attention in this message to a very special event that will take place during this Session, specifically on Monday August 27, immediately before our ISI General Assembly. As you may know, the two 2000 Nobel Laureates in Economics are two statisticians, namely Prof. James J. Heckman from the University of Chicago, who was recognised "for his development of theory and methods for analysing selective samples", and Prof. Daniel L. McFadden from the University of California at Berkeley, who was recognised "for his development of theory and methods for analysing discrete choices". I have invited them to deliver special plenary keynote addresses during the Session and both of them have kindly accepted my invitation: Prof. Heckman's address will be on "Causality in Econometrics and Statistics" and Prof. McFadden's will focus on "Statistical Simulation".
This event will be of course organised in addition to the traditional President's Invited Paper Meeting, where I have invited some prominent speakers: Prof. Denise Lievesley, mainly in her role as President of the Royal Statistical Society, who will expound her ideas regarding the role of statistical societies and the public perception, political persuasiveness and professional profile of statistics; Dr. Carlo Malaguerra, the organiser of the very successful IAOS Conference in Montreux, Switzerland that took place last year, who will present his observations regarding a new application in the statistical domain, namely statistics, development and human rights; in addition Mr. Pierre Tournier (a French academic who is perhaps somewhat less well known in ISI circles than my other guests), who in 1993 has created an association named Pénombre which will reflect upon the use of numbers in the public debate, and will present interesting research findings based upon work conducted by this association; and I will finally welcome two famous specialists from the World Bank, Mr. Tim Marchant and Mr. Lionel Demery, who will pose the question as to whether it's possible to measure poverty, one of the biggest challenges for official statisticians both past and present. It goes without saying that this meeting will be only one of the 84 meetings of invited papers that promise to afford very lively discussions, without forgetting the important contributed paper meetings that will also take place.
Participants of Berlin Session Planning Meeting
As the Seoul Session approaches, it's appropriate for us to also look at the preparation of the 54th Session. An ISI delegation including President-Elect Mr. Dennis Trewin, Ms. Susan Linacre (Chair of the Programme Co-ordinating Committee for the 54th Session), ISI Director Dr. Marcel Van den Broecke and ISI Assistant Director Mr. Daniel Berze and I visited Berlin on March 20–21 to monitor preparations for the Berlin Session (which is scheduled to be held from August 13 to 18, 2003). We had meetings with Ms. Zypries, Secretary of State at the Ministry of Interior, and with the several representatives from the National Organising Committee (Dr. Hans Günther Merk, Chairman, Prof. Dr. Peter-Theodor Wilrich, Chairman of the Local Programme Committee, amongst others). We also visited the impressive International Conference Centre and met the professional congress organisers chosen by the NOC. We came away fully convinced it will be an excellently organised Session in a fascinating and attractive city, as expressed both in its historical roots and in the 21st Century. As usual, you will receive further information during the next General Assembly and also by visiting the Berlin Session booth in the exhibition hall, which will be accessible for the duration of the Seoul Session. It is already possible to visit the 54th Session site at http://www.isi-2003.de.
Just a couple of days before our visit to Berlin, we held a meeting of the ISI Executive Committee in the UNDP premises in New York City. We had in fact decided, for practical reasons, to organise this meeting in parallel with the meeting of the UN Statistical Commission, where ISI is usually present as an organisation having a consultative status to the UN Economic and Social Council. A large part of our meeting was devoted to future Sessions (including the 55th Session in Sydney and beyond) and to the different meetings organised by the ISI supplementing our biennial Sessions. We had discussions about the ISI publications programme and I'm pleased to announce several improvements: ISI’s financial balance (in particular as regards the journal Bernoulli); the recently developed prototype version of STMA on CD-ROM and its eventual marketing (we are considering forging an agreement with the CIS to jointly market CIS and STMA to each other's membership); future publications such as Statisticians of the Century, edited by Chris Heyde and Eugene Seneta, that will be available before the end of this year; also the new version of the ISI’s Dictionary of Statistical Terms, actively being prepared by its editor Yadolah Dodge and his editorial committee. You can obtain further information about the ISI’s editorial policy and other matters discussed by your Executive Committee (e.g. committee matters) by participating in the ISI General Assembly in Seoul on Monday August 27.
I would like to take this opportunity to report on one extremely alarming matter that was discussed intensively during our recent EC meeting. We must urgently address a serious problem experienced by our Institute, which is a result of the rapid ageing of our membership. If we analyse the age distribution of our membership as of December 2000 and compare it to the same distribution less than five years ago (June 1996), the results are very disturbing, as you may appreciate from the following table:
Members by age June 1996 December 2000 Over 70 14.6% 17.2% Over 60 34.2% 45.2% Over 50 71.9% 83.5% Below 50 28.1% 16.5%
The median age that was 55 in June 1996 is now 59! An immediate result is that, whereas the size of our membership has significantly increased in past decades, it is now decreasing (from more than 2,000 members two years ago to 1,960 in December 2000). The number of newly elected members is also decreasing year after year (from 150 in 1995 – the maximum allowed! – to 68 in 2000). More concerning is the fact that a relatively important percentage (more than 10%) of newly elected members are resigning after 3 or 4 years of membership. We have decided to react by rapidly creating an Ad Hoc Committee on Membership Expansion and Renewal to determine the reasons for this situation, to assess the ISI's portfolio of membership products and services to determine if they serve the present needs of members, and to determine what changes can be made to attract new young statisticians and to avoid the resignation of recently elected members. Moreover, I invite each of you to send messages to the ISI Permanent Office to suggest ideas and propose measures to reverse this alarming situation. Better yet, nominations for new (in particular, young) members are critically needed. It is apparent that this is a matter of life or death for the ISI. All members are concerned.
Finally, I have to inform you about the results for the vote on the proposed amendments to the ISI Statutes and By-laws. We have successfully jumped over the two hurdles provided by these statutes so as to amend them: at the official deadline of April 15, we had registered a total response of 760 ballots, i.e. 37.7% (more than one-third of the membership is requested) and the percentage of 'yes' is in a range from 81.5% to 96.9% (more than two-thirds is required according to our Bylaws). All these amendments will therefore be submitted to the General Assembly in Seoul.
This is my last contribution to the ISI Newsletter as President, as the next issue will be published after the Seoul Session. Serving as President is a big privilege but it would be impossible to serve without the invaluable help of the members of the entire Executive Committee and the support of the Council members. A lot of thanks are due to all of them. I am also grateful to all those colleagues who have served in the different ISI and Section committees so effectively over this two-year period. Last but not least I heartily thank all the staff of our Permanent Office, not only Director Marcel Van den Broecke and Assistant Director Daniel Berze, but also all those staff members who are doing their hard and dedicated work 'behind the scene'. It was certainly a great pleasure for your President and a tremendous advantage for all of us to count upon such competent staff.
See you in Seoul!
The statistical office of the Federal Republic of Germany (Statistisches Bundesamt) is bound to the Ministry of Interior
Message from the Director
This will be the last ISI-Newsletter you receive before we meet in Seoul for the 53rd biennial Session of the International Statistical Institute. Its preparations are proceeding smoothly, particularly because of the great efforts of the local organisers to make it a success. I refer you to the President’s message and to that of the local organisers for more information about the programme and the various other activities that are planned
During the Helsinki Session in 1999, the ISI Executive Committee decided to establish the “ISI Development Fund”, which aimed to support statisticians from developing countries wishing to present a paper at a meeting of ISI or one of its Sections. This decision was an expression of the conviction on the part of the ISI Executive Committee to support and improve statistics in developing countries. Candidates are required to present the abstract of their paper and a realistic budget for travel, registration, accommodation and out of pocket expenses, supported in writing by two referents, and may apply for reimbursement of 90% of their expenses. Applicants cannot receive more than one grant per year. If they met these criteria, support was provided on a first come first serve basis. A fund of US$ 100,000 was set aside for this purpose for the period August 1999 to August 2001. I can now report on the results of this programme up to the time of writing (i.e. May 21, 2001).
We received 84 applications, of which 4 failed to meet our criteria, and of which 22 arrived after the Fund had been depleted, which happened in the first week of April 2001. The remaining 58 applications have been granted. The average granted amount was US$ 1,725. Successful applications were geographically distributed as follows:
of which from India 18; Philippines 5; Pakistan 3; Iran 2; Indonesia 2; Malaysia 1;
Eastern Europe: 15,
of which from Romania 5; Russia 3; Czech Republic 3; Lithuania 2; Slovakia 1; Ukraine 1;
of which from South Africa 2; Mauritius 2; Kenya 1; Mali 1; Zimbabwe 1; Uganda 1; Nigeria 1;
Central and South America: 3,
of which from Chile 1, Bolivia 1; Barbados 1.
Meetings for which support was granted are as follows:
• Bernoulli Society World Congress with IMS, Guanajuato, Mexico, May 2000 (1)
• IASC Compstat Utrecht, Netherlands, August 2000 (2)
• IASE Round Table Tokyo, Japan, August 2000 (2)
• IAOS Montreux Switzerland, Sept. 2000:
Statistics, Development and Human Rights (14)
• IAOS-SCORUS Shenzhen, China, November 2000 (7)
• Bernoulli Society European Young Statisticians,
Janska Dolina, Slovakia, August 2000 (3)
• Bernoulli Society 23rd European Meeting Funchal,
Madeira, Portugal, August 2000 (2)
• 53rd ISI Session Seoul, Korea, August 2001 (27).
The fact that 22 requests had to be turned down because the ISI Development Fund had been depleted indicates that this programme fulfils an obvious need. The budget for almost all applications has been reduced by allocating applicants to the cheapest accommodation available, and granting fairly minimal out of pocket expenses in order to stretch the available funds over a maximum the number of recipients.
The prominent position of Indian recipients may be explained by the strong tradition in statistics that has developed in India over a long period of time. The fact that most applications aimed to participate in the ISI Session in Seoul is due recognition of the importance and wide scope of this meeting, the only international one of its kind that includes all disciplines within statistics.
I look forward to seeing many of you, including the 27 recipients of the ISI Development Fund support (plus 4 recipients of the ISI Tokyo Session Memorial Programme, plus recipients of UNSD funds), in Seoul.
Marcel van den Broecke
53rd ISI Session – Seoul 2001
Preparations for the ISI Seoul Session are now in full swing. The National Organizing Committee (NOC) is working hard to satisfy the expectations of all participants and make the Session successful. May 14, 2001 was “D-day” – 100 days before the 53rd ISI Session. There was a small ceremony at the National Statistical Office, opening the electronic date plate, from which, everyone can see how many days are left before the Session. The Major attendees included the chair of the NOC, the chair of the LPC, the president of the statistical society and the president of the statistical association. After the ceremony, there was a practical meeting where many people got together and checked the current status of preparations for the Session.
Inauguration for the 100 days before the Session
As of May 25, 2001, 801 participants from 81 different countries had completed the final registration for the Seoul ISI Session (not including 103 accompanying persons). The names of registrants by country are available on the website of the Session at http://www.nso.go.kr/isi2001.
Anyone who has not completed the final registration thus far is recommended to do so as soon as possible so that the NOC can finalize registration preparations for the Session. Participants can use the Internet homepage or the fax/airmail to submit their registration forms.
Submission of Papers
As of May 25, 2001, 713 papers had been submitted including 185 Invited Papers and 528 Contributed Papers. Although the extended deadline for the submission of papers has already expired, the NOC will do its best to accommodate papers that were submitted late, as long as they arrive before the close of the final manuscripts for the Proceedings and the Programme book.
The Proceedings of the 53rd ISI Session will be published on the internet, on a CD-ROM and in book form. The electronic book for the Proceedings will be published on the internet homepage of the Session at http://www.nso.go.kr/isi2001 in July 2001. The paper publication and the CD-ROM will be given to each participant upon arrival at the Session.
Information Bulletin No. 3 & Final Scientific Programmes
Information Bulletin No. 3 containing the detailed scientific programs for the Invited Paper Meetings and Contributed Paper Meetings will be sent to all the persons who have completed their final registrations by airmail approximately one month before the Session. The same information will also be available on the Session homepage. Participants will also receive the Programme book containing the final scientific programme upon their arrival at the registration desk in COEX.
Ceramic production experience at the Icheon World Ceramic Exposition
How to purchase the discounted ticket from Korean Air
Korean Air has been designated as the Official Carrier of the 53rd ISI Session. Any registrant who is attending the 53rd ISI Session is entitled to a discount of 20% off the current market airfare of the Korean Air for Business and Economy class to and from Seoul. Participants who wish to purchase the discounted air ticket should show a copy of the Registration Confirmation slip or Invitation Letter to the nearest Korean Air office or General Sales Agent of Korean Air. Their phone numbers are included on the page 10 and 11 of Information Bulletin No. 2 and in “General Information” on the homepage of the Session.
Please note that participants are advised to reserve seats well in advance, as August is the busiest month for air travel in Korea.
Incheon International Airport
Aspiring to become a major transportation hub in Northeast Asia, Incheon International Airport has successfully opened operations in March of 2001. All foreign travelers will be arriving in Korea via this airport, which is located 52 km from downtown Seoul. The information desks for the Session will be in operation at the airport during the Session period to guide the participants to the local transportation areas for their hotels or the conference venue. Detailed information on local transportation will be announced via the internet homepage.
Seoul, The Host City
Seoul, the capital city of the Republic of Korea, is a fascinating place where a 5,000 year-old culture and history blend harmoniously with modern features. Seoul, with its population of 11 million of the nation’s 45 million, is the center of finance, politics, commerce, recreation, education and culture, and home to major corporations, banks, government offices, schools, theaters, and entertainment facilities. Standing at the crossroad of a glorious past and a promising future, Seoul is noted for its major historical as well as cultural and natural attractions. Visitors can still experience the essence of the ancient Orient which lingers in and around the old palaces, the imposing city gates, and the serene temples in the midst of the skyscrapers and modern architecture of the thriving international city of today.
Pleasure cruiser on the Han River
The 53rd Session of the ISI will be held at the Convention and Exhibition Center (COEX) which was newly built in 2000. With state-of-the-art equipment and facilities for communications, multimedia, lighting, and audio/visual systems, it will be fully capable of hosting large-scale international conferences. The COEX facility provides easy access to transportation with a subway station right at its doorstep. The Korea City Air Terminal, located in the convention facility, offers all the services available at the Incheon International Airport such as reservations, ticketing, seat assignment, boarding pass issuance and baggage check-in.
The COEX facility connects with the Trade Towers in a 119,000 square meter mix of underground dining, shopping and family facilities. The COEX Mall offers everything from international foods to the latest books and fashion extravaganza.
Mr. Bong-Ho Choi
Chief of Executive Secretariat for the 53rd ISI Session
Director of International Affairs Division
National Statistical Office
920 Dunsan-dong, So-gu
Schedule for the 53rd Session of the ISI
07:30-09:00 09:15-11:30 11:45-13:15 13:15-15:30 15:45-18:00 Evenings 21 Aug. (Tue.) Registration (10:00-20:00) 22 Aug. (Wed.) Registration (8:00-18:00) Opening Ceremony Welcome Reception 23 Aug. (Thur.) Administrative Meetings Scientific Meetings Administrative Meetings Scientific Meetings Scientific Meetings Seoul City Mayor Reception 24 Aug. (Fri.) Administrative Meetings Scientific Meetings Administrative Meetings Scientific Meetings Scientific Meetings Tutorial on Data Mining 25 Aug. (Sat.) Scientific Meetings Excursion (13:15-18:00) 26 Aug. (Sun.) Excursion (7:30-18:00) 27 Aug. (Mon.) Administrative Meetings Scientific Meetings Administrative Meetings Special Keynote Addresses* ISI General Assembly Korean Night 28 Aug. (Tue.) Administrative Meetings Scientific Meetings Administrative Meetings Scientific Meetings Scientific Meetings Farewell Party 29 Aug. (Wed.) Administrative Meetings Scientific Meetings Administrative Meetings Scientific Meetings Scientific Meetings
* Special Keynote Addresses by the 2000 Winners of the Nobel Prize of Economics
Administrative Meetings Programme
Date (7:30-9:00) (9:15-11:30) (11:45-13:15) (13:15-15:30) (15:45-18:00) Evening Aug. 22 (Wed.) ISI Outgoing Executive Comm. (8:30-12:00) Registration Incoming and Outgoing ISI Council I (12:45-14:45) Opening Ceremony Welcoming Reception Aug. 23 (Thur.) ISI Environment Comm. IAOS Exec. Comm. Joint meeting of the Incoming Programme Comm. and Programme Co-ordinating Comm. and representatives of Outgoing Programme and Programme Co-ordinating Comm.s and both Local Prog. Comm. Chairs International Statistical Training Centres Working Group ISI Member Auditors IASS Council Scientific Meetings ISI Nominations Comm. I ISI Programme Comm. I BS East Asian & Pacific Reg. Comm. BS European Regional Comm. SCORUS Meeting Mahalanobis Comm. Women in Statistics Comm. Meeting IASS General Assembly Scientific Meetings Scientific Meetings Seoul City Mayor Reception Aug. 24 (Fri.) ISI Programme- Co-ordinating Comm. I BS Publications Comm. Life Sciences Comm. Khowarizmi Comm. Travel & Tourism Comm. Incoming & Outgoing ISI Council II Scientific Meetings IAOS Programme Comm. BS Programme Comm. IASE Programme Comm. IASC Programme Comm. IASS Programme Comm. Irving Fisher Comm. on Central Bank Statistics Official Lunch with German LOC representatives IASE Executive Comm. Scientific Meetings Scientific Meetings Tutorial on Data Mining Aug. 25 (Sat.) Scientific Meetings Excursion Excursion Chief Statisticians Reception Aug. 26 (Sun.) Excursion Excursion Excursion Excursion Guest Org.s Dinner Meeting Aug. 27 (Mon.) Open meeting hosted by Women in Statistics Comm. IASE General Assembly BS Council meeting IASC Council meeting I Agricultural Statistics Comm. ISI Statistics in Business & Industry Comm. ISI Comm. on Risk Analysis Scientific Meetings IAOS General Assembly IASC Council meeting II Sports Statistics Comm. BS Comm. for Probability & Statistics in the Physical Sciences Special Keynote Addresses by the 2000 Winners of the Nobel Prize of Economics ISI General Assembly & Jan Tinbergen Award Presentation Korean Night Aug. 28 (Tue.) IASC General Assembly Dictionary of Statistical Terms Editorial Comm. ISI Comm. on Professional Ethics Open Meeting of Statistical Societies IASS Executive Comm. Scientific Meetings BS General Assembly ISI Nominations Comm. II ISI Programme Comm. II ISI Publications Comm. ISI Service Awards Review Comm. Scientific Meetings Scientific Meetings Farewell Party Aug. 29 (Wed.) IASC EARS BoD Mercator Comm. on GIS Scientific Meetings ISI Programme Co-ordinating Comm. II ISI Incoming Executive Comm. Official Lunch with Australian LOC representatives
Invited Paper Meetings Programme
09:15 - 11:30
13:15 - 15:30
15:45 - 18:00
IPM18.* Disclosure Control and Facilitating Access by Users
IPM28. Spatial Statistics in an Agricultural
IPM33. Contemporary Methods in Quality Management
IPM44. Statistical Physics Methods and Combinational Optimization
IPM70. The Role of Survey Sampling in the 21st Century
IPM80. The Meeting by International Federation of Classification Societies
IPM10. Technology in Statistical Education
IPM22. Marine Resource Estimation
IPM24. Topics in Human Genetics
IPM42. Analysis of High-Dimensional Data
IPM43.* IAOS Forum: Enhancing Statistical Capabilities in Developing/ Transition Countries
IPM57. The Future of Statistics Education Research
IPM30. Statistics for Financial Stability
IPM35. Robust Inference and Model Building
IPM51. Statistical Image Analysis: Human Brain Mapping
IPM58.* Research on Teaching Statistics at School and University Levels
IPM69. SCORUS: Measuring Inequalities in Large Urban Areas
IPM79. Extreme Value Distributions in Geology(IAMG)
IPM1.* President’s Invited Paper Meeting
IPM36. Recent Advances in Survival Analysis
IPM39. Statistics for Spatial and Spatial- Temporal Processes
IPM60. Continuing Statistics Education in the Workplace
IPM65. Statistics and the Mass Media
IPM73. Linked Employer-Employee Data
IPM2. Statistics in Korea: History, Role in Economic Development and Current Statistical System
IPM11. Women’s Contributions to Leadership in Statistical Education
IPM21. Issues of Risk Assessment in Asian Countries
IPM45. Analysis of Online Monitoring Data
IPM48.* Interactive Graphical Data Analysis/Statistical Visualization
IPM76. Edit and Imputation Techniques
IPM31. Millennium Anniversary:
Thomas Bayes, b.1701
IPM32. Border and Household Surveys
IPM46. Statistics in Information Retrieval
IPM55.* Forum: IASE and Statistics Education in Developing Countries
IPM62. Official Statistics in Government Decentralization
IPM68. SCORUS: A Standard Regional Reference System as Prerequisite for Internationally Comparable Regional Statistics
IPM 9. Roundtable Forum on Population Census
IPM23. Recent Works of Korean and Japanese Probabilists on Stochastic Numerical Analysis
IPM37. Memorial Meeting for
Lucien Lecam, George Matheron and John Tukey
IPM49. Statistical Methods for Intrusion Detection
IPM59. Undergraduate Statistics Education in Non-Statistics Degree Programs
IPM74. Multilevel Models for Survey Design and Analysis
IPM84.* Best Papers by Young Statisticians from Developing Countries
IPM7. Spatial Statistical Modeling, with Environmental Applications
IPM12.* Quality Programs in Statistical Agencies
IPM29. The Role of Statistical Science in the Assessment of Air Quality
IPM34. Measuring the Status of Women and Minorities in Society
IPM41. Functional Data Analysis
IPM72. Standardized Survey Interviewing: Is it A Good Thing?
*Special Keynote Addresses by the 2000 Winners of the
Nobel Prize of Economics
*ISI General Assembly
IPM4. Internet: Network Management and Engineering Performance
IPM26. Noncompliance In Clinical Trials
IPM56. Undergraduate Level Statistics Programs
IPM67.* Development Indicators: How to Improve and Harmonize Them Internationally
IPM71. Misclassification as Response Error in Surveys
IPM82. The Meeting by International Actuarial Association
IPM13.* Combining Data from Different Sources
IPM16. Internet and Innovative Data Dissemination
IPM38. Hidden Markov Chains
IPM52. Non-and Semiparametric Smoothing Regression
IPM54. Optimization Techniques in Statistics
IPM64. Efficiency in Technical Co-Operation in Statistics
IPM3. Asian Statistical Forum
IPM6. Perfect Simulation
IPM8. Clinical Trials of Herbal Medicine
IPM20.* Measurement of E-Commerce
IPM53. Simulation from Complicated Multivariate Distributions
IPM75. Price/ Production Indices
IPM5. Statistics in Bioinformatics
IPM15.* Education and the Internet: Effective Structures for the Net
IPM19. Multiple Frame Surveys
IPM61. Postgraduate Training of Statisticians
IPM63. How to Measure R&D Outputs Statistically?
IPM81. The Meeting by Population Association of Korea
IPM14.* The Role of Official Statistics in University Curriculum
IPM17. Internet and Innovative Data Collection
IPM27. Relation between Biomathematical Modeling and Biostatistics
IPM40. Martingale Methods in Financial Modeling
IPM50. Computational Issues in Nonparametric Bayese
IPM25. Sampling Problems In Biology and Epidemiology
IPM47. Monte Carlo Filtering
IPM66.* Ethical Issues and Official Statistics
IPM77. The Meeting by International Labour Organization
IPM78. Information Technology for Official Statistics (Eurostat)
IPM No. 83 is currently vacant.
*: Meetings to be served simultaneous interpretation between English and French.
Indicative List of Topics for Contributed Papers
Notice on the Contributed Paper Meetings
1. Time schedule of each CP meeting will be announced through Information Bulletin No. 3 which will be sent to all the registrants at the end of July. The same information will be available on the internet homepage, http://www.nso.go.kr/isi2001 in July 2001.
2. The local program committee will classify all the submitted papers based on the information given by the authors to allocate them to the appropriate sessions. Out of the 164 indicative topics listed below, around 80-100 topics will be chosen. Some papers have been grouped by category by the authors themselves. For example, the following CP meetings have been already specially grouped by some of the authors themselves.
i) Survey Sampling (by some Korean statisticians who are residing in USA)
Statistics (by the ISI Committee on Women in Statistics)
Those who wish to make a special CP meeting like in the example above, please feel free to do so and let the local organizer know about it.
1. History of Statistics
3. Stochastic Processes
4. Martingale Methods
5. Statistical Inference
6. Multivariate Methods
7. Correspondence Analysis and Optimal Scaling Methods
8. Latent Variable Modeling
9. Classification and Clustering
11. EM Algorithm
12. Gibbs Sampler
13. Markov Chain and Monte Carlo Methods
14. Resampling Methods: Jackknife, Bootstrap and Cross-validation
15. Counting Process
17. Time Series
18. Non-stationary and Non-linear Time Series
19. Change-point Analysis
20. Linear Models
21. Regression Theory
22. Model Selection
23. Categorical Data
24. Variance Component Models
25. Multi-level Models
26. Censored Data
27. Bayesian Methods and Decision Theory
28. Robust Statistics
31. Statistics for Fuzzy or Non-precise Data
32. Extreme and Record Value Statistics
33. Nonparametric Statistics
34. Semiparametric Models
35. Nonparametric Function Estimation
36. Partial Least Squares Methods
37. Multiple Comparisons, Ranking, Selection and Related Topics
38. Maximum Entropy Approach in Statistical Inference
39. Covariate Measurement Error in Regression
40. Optimal Confidence Interval for the Best Mean
41. Leading Indicators
42. Seasonal Adjustment of Time Series Data
43. Index Theory and Practice
44. Globalization of Markets and Cross-border Holdings
45. Measuring Poverty, Inequality and Income Distribution
46. Statistics in Agriculture and Forestry
47. Population Statistics
48. Official Statistics
49. Statistics of Prices and Wages
50. Agricultural Censuses, Advantages and Limitations
51. Measurement and Valuation of Household and other Unpaid Work
52. Marketing and Dissemination of Statistical Products, Services and Information
53. International Comparability of Statistical Data
54. Statistical Issues related to Privacy and Confidentiality
55. Issues related to Metadata
56. Utilization of Administration Records to Produce Statistics
57. Development of Health and Social Indicators
58. Statistical Problems in Developing and Transition Countries
59. Educational Statistics
60. Sustainability Indicators
61. Application of New Technologies in Population and Housing Censuses
62. Advances in the Methodology Time Use Survey
63. Improving the Quality of Official Statistics
64. Data Collection Systems
65. Generalized Integrated Processing System
66. SNA and Satellite Accounts
67. Gender Statistics
68. Statistics of Household Income and Expenditure
69. City Comparison Statistics
70. Development of Social Welfare Statistics
71. Distributive Trade and Service Statistics
72. Occupational Safety Survey
73. Official Statistics in Government Decentralization
74. Efficiency in Technical Cooperation in Statistics
75. Ethical Issues and Official Statistics
76. Transportation Statistics
77. Employment Statistics
78. Effects of Agricultural Outlook and Prospective
79. Measuring the Status of Women and Minorities in Society
80. Longitudinal and Panel Data
82. Combining Surveys and Experiments
83. Superpopulation Models
84. Survey Methodology
85. Imputation Techniques
86. Wildlife Sampling
87. Measurement Errors
88. Small Area Statistical Methods
89. Multiple Response Analysis
90. Marketing and Public Opinion Surveys
91. Internet Survey
92. Multiple Frames Survey
93. Statistical Methods in Decision Sciences
94. Statistical Method for Business and Industry
95. Statistical Problems of Customer Relationship Management
97. Statistics in Biology and Genetics
98. Statistics in Medicine
99. Clinical Trials
100. Pharmaceutical Statistics
102. Survival and Event History Analysis
103. Risk Assessment
104. Statistical Issues in the Water/ Air Problems
105. Statistical Modeling in Ecology
106. Statistical Management in Health Information
107. Statistical Methods for Disease Gene Mapping
108. Risk Assessment of the Pesticide/Herbicide
109. Risk Evaluation of Endocrine Disruptors in Ecosystems
111. Statistical Methods in the Forensic Science
112. Impact of ICH/E9 Guidelines: the Role of Bridging Study
113. Recent Issues in Bioequivalence Study
114. Medical Records Utilization to Produce Health Statistics
115. Lifetime Data Analysis
116. Neural Networks
117. Pattern Recognition and Image Analysis
118. Spatial Statistics
119. The Internet and Statistics
120. Data Fusion
121. Combining Procedures for Nonparametric Regression, Classification and Forecasting
122. Computational Statistics
123. Expert Systems
125. Geographical Information Systems
126. Data Visualization and Graphical Methods
127. Data Analysis
128. Data Mining and KDD
129. Statistical Computer Programs
130. Internet Statistical Software
131. Time Series Analysis of Futures Price Behavior
132. Measurement of E-commerce
133. Statistical Education
134. Teaching Statistics for Non-statisticians
135. Statistical Consulting
138. Issues related to Statistical Data Archive
139. Marine Resource Estimation
140. Meteorology and Statistics
141. Statistics in Telecommunication
142. Smoking and Tobacco Statistics
143. Statistics and Human Rights
144. Culture Statistics
145. Statistics and Law
146. Statistics and Mass Media
147. Statistics of Crimes
148. Statistics in Tourism and Recreation
149. Sports Statistics
150. Statistics and Insurance
151. Statistics and Financial Crisis
152. Collection of Financial Data from Companies: Data Adjustment, Accounting Standards and Special Survey
153. Measurement of External Reserves
154. Relationship between Central Banks and Statistical Institute
155. Stochastics in Finance
156. Financial Statistics
157. Experimental Design
158. Statistics in Physical and Engineering Sciences
160. Evaluating and Expressing the Uncertainty in Scientific Measurements
161. Six Sigma Quality Management
163. Statistical Quality Control
164. Statistical Process Control
165. Other topics
News of Members
“Our colleague Dr. Carlo Malaguerra, Director of the Swiss Federal Statistical Office, has recently announced that he will retire at the end of 2001. We bear in mind the outstanding and important contributions he has made to the ISI (he was a member of the ISI Council from 1995 to 1999) and the IAOS (he chaired the IAOS Review Committee from 1997 to 1999 and the Organising Committee of the successful IAOS Conference in Montreux in September 2000). We convey our best wishes to Carlo and hope that he will maintain his active participation in ISI and IAOS activities after his retirement.”
(submitted by ISI President Mr. Jean-Louis Bodin).
Prof. Edward J. Dudewicz, Department of Mathematics, Syracuse University, New York, has received the American Society for Quality (ASQ) Testimonial Award “… in recognition of Leadership and Distinguished Service as Statistics Division ‘How To’ Series Editor from the members and directors of the society”. Dr. Dudewicz was Founding Editor of the Series, which has grown to over 30 volumes.
Prof. Calyampudi R. Rao has been given an award entitled “Padma Vibhushan”, the second highest civilian honour bestowed by the country of India in recognition of his exceptional and distinguished service in the field of science and engineering/ statistics. Indian officials announced the country’s civilian awards 25 January on the eve of the country’s Republic Day festivities. In addition, Dr. Rao received the “Sandkhyiki Bhushan” award from the Indian Society of Agricultural Statistics and the Life Time Achievement Award from the International Indian Statistical Association during recent conferences held in India. Dr. Rao has also received an honorary doctor of science degree from the University of Cyprus as “one of the pioneers of modern statistical theory”.
ISI members Prof. Marie-Jeanne Laurent-Duhamel, Mr. Paul Champsaur and Ms. Annie Fouquet (from left to right) have been distinguished by the French “Ordre de la Légion d’Honneur”, with Prof. Laurent-Duhamel and Mr. Champsaur being named as “Officers” and Ms. Fouquet as “Chevalier” respectively. Congratulations!
(submitted by ISI member Ms. Marie-Hélène Amiel)
ISI/IASC member Prof. Dr. Wouter Molenaar has received the 'Knight in the order of the Netherlands Lion' by the Queen of the Netherlands, one of the highest honours in the Netherlands. Since September 200, Prof. Molenaar is retired Professor of Statistics and Measurement Theory at the University of Groningen, The Netherlands.
The ISI regrets to announce the death of our colleagues:
Born Elected Deceased Chidambara Chandrasekaran 1911 1959 4 Jan. 2000 Agnes H. Zaludova 1919 1968 2001 Olav Reiersol 1908 1961 14 Feb. 2001 Gérard Calot 1934 1973 15 March 2001 Bill Burnbaum 1903 1973 15 Dec. 2000
Gérard Calot (1934–2001)
Elected as an ISI member in 1973, Gérard Calot will remain to all of us a demographer of international fame and a passionate pedagogue. A 1956 graduate of the prestigious Ecole Polytechnique (Paris), he completed his studies at the National School for Statistics and Economic Administration (ENSAE) and the Statistical Institute of Paris University. He then began a 42-year career as official statistician, teacher and researcher.
Starting in 1959 in INSEE's demographic department, he was involved in preparing the 1962 population census. At the same time, he became professor of descriptive statistics at ENSAE, where some of his students were older than he was. His outstanding pedagogical skills were unanimously appreciated. The notes for his course have become basic statistics and probability handbooks for a whole generation of students and some are even translated into Spanish.
The census gave him an expertise in handling large databases. He pioneered the first electronic computer, which replaced the classical punch card devices. Later on, his enthusiastic appraisal of early micro-informatics led him to devoting hours and hours to editing his programs. There, he acquired an extreme rigor in establishing instructions and meticulousness about definitions, conventions and notations that secretaries and editors learned to fear.
Gérard Calot was an initiator of many statistical innovations. Thanks to a follow up of samples extracted from the 1954 census, he conducted the first studies of differential mortality between social categories. Then, in 1964 he conceived the Permanent Demographic Sample, a partly renewable panel that INSEE still maintains today. Aware of the feeble utilisation of the available data from the 1965 presidential election, he proposed an analysis of the inter-ballot shift of voices. Eager at promoting demographic issues among the public, he assisted in designating the "50 millionth French". Afterwards, being in charge of the census, he humbly faced the embarrassing task of acknowledging that the census only counted 49.8 million inhabitants.
But, his major concern was that of fertility decline which, in France, began in 1965. He utilised his great talents to develop public consciousness about this issue. He then came into dispute with more prudent demographers. Subsequent facts have proven that he was right. He did not attach the same importance to declining marriage rates (which began in 1973) until later when he had become director of INED (National Institute for Demographic Studies). During this period, he became the theoretician of the "conjunctural fertility index" (ICF) and established what should from now on be known as the "Calot formula", which allows for an early estimate of the ICF from the monthly number of births. His method spans all countries of the so-called "Calot-club" that have a sufficient statistical infrastructure (census and vital registration): Luxembourg, Switzerland, Andalusia, ... and even China asked him to conduct more accurate studies, where his rigor and taste for a job well done (with high quality graphic illustrations) were met with great success.
Statistics, especially demography, is never very far from politics. Gérard Calot stuck to the republican principle of "equal opportunities"; he cultivated the spirit of state service, which for him includes restlessly correcting inequities resulting from chance and wealth differences. Still, he did not share idealistic and libertarian "radicalism" and did not tolerate those who tried to bend the law to their own benefit.
When he became INED's director (1972), the legalisation of abortion in France was the subject of sharp debates. In these matters, he played an important role as government advisor and he prepared articles of law that organised the statistical monitoring of abortion. He also devoted himself to issues of family policy such as taxation (according to the size of family) and social welfare (family benefits). For this, he set up a range of statistical models, the logic of which he would have liked the public at large to understand. Rationality, he believed, would thus be the exact opposite of technocracy: as always, he maintained a relentless ambition to explore and explain.
Such activism in favour of family policies led the self-proclaimed left wing intelligentsia to mark him as being right wing. Yet, when left wing parties came to office in 1981, this did not create a problem for him. He worked to bring the new government to see his views. Nonetheless, in 1990 an aggressive campaign reproached him for paying too little attention to the concept of completed fertility – despite his being the world-wide recognised specialist of the concept: the criticism seemed to him to be so unfair that he offered only a token defence. He was deeply disappointed at being misunderstood.
His twenty years at the head of INED succeeded in restoring the Institute – which had been at risk of shutting down – to its previous status and role. He thus carried on in the line of Alfred Sauvy (who had advocated a pro-natalist policy in France), Jean Bourgeois-Pichat (for an intense and wider international co-operation) and Louis Henry (whose works about diachronic analysis he greatly admired). He refused to shape INED's statute into that of huge research institutions divided into numerous "laboratories". He fought against the academic domination of the "soft sciences" (sociology among others) over "hard sciences" to which included demography. He stimulated new generations of young researchers to examine new issues. A restless traveller, having a vivid curiosity for all things of the world, fond of all the pleasures of life (including good cooking!), he developed an impressive international network for INED, making special efforts to develop contacts with Russia and countries of the former "soviet block".
In 1992, he left INED in order to focus on the analysis of period birth and marriage data, founding the "European Demographic Observatory". In September 2000, during an onset of the illness that he knew was terminal, he sent a letter to all his friends and colleagues, in which for the last time he put forth the motivation of his choices and a desperate query for people's understanding. To such a dramatic document (to be published in a next issue of the journal Population), we can but refer readers who wish to obtain insight into the man who has had such an important influence on the development of demography in France and abroad.
Gérard Calot left us on March 15th, 2001.
(January 31, 1919 - November 15, 2000)
Dr. Oscar Kempthorne, Emeritus Distinguished Professor of Statistics and Emeritus Distinguished Professor in Liberal Arts and Sciences at Iowa State University, died peacefully on November 15, 2000 in Annapolis, Maryland. He had moved to Annapolis in 1996 to be closer to family, following the death of his wife.
Dr. Kempthorne was born in 1919 in Cornwall, England, and spent his youth studying hard and working on the family farm. He received multiple scholarships to attend Cambridge University where he received both B.A. and M.A. degrees. He joined the Iowa State College statistics faculty in 1947. He received an honorary Doctor of Science degree from Cambridge in 1960 and became a Distinguished Professor of Statistics at Iowa State in 1964. He remained an active member of the Iowa State Statistics Department until his retirement in 1989.
Kempthorne was a Fellow of the American Academy for the Advancement of Science, the American Statistical Association, the Institute of Mathematical Statistics, and the International Statistical Institute. In addition, he was an Honorary Fellow of the Royal Statistical Society, a former chairman of the American Academy for the Advancement of Science, and a past president of the Institute of Mathematical Statistics.
Although recognised internationally for his contributions to statistics, he was most passionate about his students and his teaching. Throughout his professional life and into his retirement, he derived considerable pleasure in learning of the accomplishments of former students.
In his memory contributions may be made to the American Heart Association or to the Oscar Kempthorne Memorial Fund, the Department of Statistics, 102 Snedecor Hall, Iowa State University, Ames, Iowa, 50011-1210. The memorial fund will be used to establish the Kempthorne Award that will be given annually to a promising graduate student in the Statistics Department at I.S.U.
ISI Committee Matters
ISI Nominations Committee
All ISI members are urged to contact any of the following ISI Nomination Committee members if they wish to convey suggestions for the post of President-Elect, Vice Presidents and Council members of the ISI, to be considered for the next round of ISI elections. The Nominations Committee is composed of the following members:
Prof. Yuki Miura – Chairman (Japan) ( firstname.lastname@example.org )
Mr. Gordon Brackstone (Canada) ( Gordon.Brackstone@statcan.ca )
Dr. Alastair Scott (New Zealand) ( email@example.com )
Dr. Romy Virola (The Philippines) ( firstname.lastname@example.org )
Dr. Erhard Hruschka (Germany) ( email@example.com )
Mr. Michel Euriat (France) ( firstname.lastname@example.org )
Dr. Carmen Feijo (Brazil) ( email@example.com )
News from ISI Sections: Bernoulli Society IAOS IASE IASC IASS
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News from ISI sections: Volume 25 No. 2 (74) 2001
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