ISI - INTERNATIONAL STATISTICAL INSTITUTE
Newsletter Volume 27, No. 3 (81) 2003


Published three times a year, the ISI Newsletter provides a broad overview of the Institute's activities, and also includes additional information of interest to statisticians. The Newsletter is sent to all members of the ISI and its five Sections (approx. 5,000) as part of their membership.

In this On-Line Issue
Message from the President
Message from the Past President
Message from the Director
ISI Executive Committee
Spotlight on the 54th Session 2003
News of Members
In Memoriam
Historical Anniversaries: A.N. Kolmogorov
Awards, Prizes & Competitions
55th Session April 5 - 12, 2005
ISI Membership Elections
Report of the ISI Nominations Committee
'Bernoulli' and 'International Statistical Review' Now On-line 
                  with Project Euclid
Historical Membership List
Free Data Sets on the Web
Conferences, Meetings & Calls for Papers

Calendar of Events

Check your Personal Data

News from ISI sections Volume 27, No. 3 (81) 2003


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Message from the President

Auf Wiedersehen, Berlin! Our first return to Berlin since the 1903 Session was a resounding success in all respects. Our Session, as in 1903, set a new record for attendance, and the intellectual activity in evidence matched the sparkle of this reborn city. Some of the highlights of the different ISI Sections’ activities are discussed in their separate reports later in this Newsletter. I recommend these reports to your attention; for example, Chris Wild’s IASE report, with its palpable excitement about the future of statistical education, a future so important to our ability to communicate with a broader world. 

With this issue of the Newsletter, we welcome a new Director for the ISI Permanent Office, Daniel Berze. Daniel will be familiar to most of you from his energetic service as Assistant Director under Marcel Van den Broecke. We warmly welcome Daniel to this new role, as we thank Marcel for his years of service. Marcel may have retired as Director, but he was elected a Member of ISI recently, and will remain amongst us in that role. 

The administrative meetings and General Assembly of the Berlin Session saw many important developments, including ongoing planning for the April 5-12, 2005, Session in Sydney, and advance planning began for the 2007 Session in Lisboa. One change that was enacted, after spirited discussion at the General Assembly, was the decision to accord transitional ISI Section status to the Irving Fisher Society for Monetary and Financial Statistics. To help inform the ISI members, more broadly, of the reasons for this action and its future implications, Past-President Dennis Trewin has submitted a report for this Newsletter, to which I will give the remainder of this space. I was an enthusiastic supporter of the action, for the same reasons Dennis gives in his report. 

I anticipate that we will receive proposals for additional Sections over the next two years, and we shall give these our careful attention, weighing them for what they may contribute to the enhanced vitality of the ISI.

Stephen M. Stigler
President ISI

 


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Message from the Past President

PROPOSED IRVING FISHER SOCIETY FOR MONETARY AND FINANCIAL STATISTICS

The 2003 General Assembly agreed to provide transitional Status to the Society as a new Section of the ISI. This was after a lengthy debate during which several prominent ISI members expressed disagreement with the proposal. I thought I would use the Newsletter to outline why I think having this new Section is good for the future of the ISI.

Before doing so, I should confess that I have been converted from someone who was negative to the proposal to someone who has become a strong supporter. Mind you, the proposal has changed quite a bit over time. Since the proposal from the Irving Fisher Committee (IFC) was first considered by the ISI Executive at their August 2002 meeting, a number of important changes have been made.

  • The scope of the Section has been extended beyond central bank statistics to incorporate financial statistics, in the broadest sense, covering the full range of financial institutions.
  • There was always a recognition that it would be necessary to work with other Sections, particularly in overlapping activities, but that was reinforced.
    The Committee and membership has been "internationalised", not only in the involvement of countries, but with the inclusion of international organisations.
  • It has been made clearer that individual, as well as corporate members, are welcome.
My fundamental enthusiasm for the proposal derives from the fact that the ISI is facing a significant membership challenge - our membership is starting to decline, as well as getting older. We need to embrace new members, especially younger members. Sections are the major source of new members so embracing new Sections, particularly in emerging fields of statistics, will help to stimulate new membership. The proposal from the IFC is the first such proposal. There are other proposals the ISI should consider, some in the shorter term, such as business and industry statistics, and environmental statistics.

To summarise, the desirability of bringing in a new group of statisticians (working on financial statistics) into the ISI family was the strongest reason for supporting the proposal. It assists their case that they have a business plan in place and that they have already demonstrated that they are well organised and well funded.
At this stage, the General Assembly has only agreed to transitional Section status. Section status will need to be agreed at the ISI 2005 Session in Sydney, Australia. This should not be taken as a formality. Some of the important things we need to consider are:

  • approved statutes (to be considered by the Executive/Council);
  • the extent to which the IFC has broadened the scope of its activities, and started working with other Sections; and
  • membership

I hope our (potentially) new Section is successful in these endeavours. I strongly believe it will be good for the ISI.

Dennis Trewin

Past President ISI


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Message from the Director 

It is a pleasure to introduce myself as the new ISI Permanent Office Director. I consider it an honour and a challenge to serve as your Director, and I look forward to working with you to realise the Institute’s objectives. For those of you who do not yet know me, I was born in Canada and moved to the Netherlands in 1989. I have an administrative background, having worked in the private and public sectors, and have been employed at the ISI Permanent Office since 1990. I am fortunate in having been personally acquainted with previous ISI Directors, namely Marcel Van den Broecke, Zoltan Kenessey and Denise Lievesley, having learned a great deal from each of them and I hope to build upon their individual past contributions to the ISI. I would particularly like to thank my immediate predecessor, Marcel Van den Broecke, for his many years of dedicated service to the organisation. We wish him well with his future cartographic research projects, and welcome him as a newly elected ISI member. 

The last few months have been very exciting and dynamic times for the ISI family, with a host of conferences, meetings, courses and other project initiatives. While it is impossible to chronicle all of these (please refer to the ISI webpages at https://www.isi-web.org/404? for more comprehensive details), I will mention a few of the highlights.

Berlin 

The 54th ISI Session was a tremendous success, with 2,339 participants from 110 countries. The scientific programme was very extensive, with 285 invited papers, 728 contributed papers, as well as 84 poster and 14 ‘title only’ presentations. We have received much positive feedback regarding the quality of many of the presentations that were made. We are extremely grateful to our German hosts, who did a great job of planning and executing their responsibilities as local organisers, in a pleasant and friendly atmosphere. Vielen Dank an unsere deutsche Freunde!

Satellite Conferences

The ISI Permanent Office, together with the Polish Central Statistical Office (GUS), organised a satellite meeting examining the essential functions of national statistical offices. The meeting took place in Szczecin, Poland on August 8/9, immediately in advance of the Berlin Session. The presentations that were made will be of interest to many official statisticians, and information about the availability of the proceedings will be made available at a later date. Satellite conferences were also held in Berlin (IASE satellite conference on Statistics Education and the Internet), Barcelona (ISI Committee on Statistics in Business in Industry satellite conference on Business and Industrial Statistics), Potsdam (Standing Committee on Regional and Urban Statistics/German Statistical Week), Dortmund (12th International Workshop on Matrices and Statistics), Tartu (7th Tartu conference on Multivariate Statistics) and Athens (International Conference on Risk Assessment). Details regarding post conference proceedings may be obtained from the respective organisers. 

Sydney and Beyond

Preparations for the 55th Session in Sydney are well advanced. NOC Chairman Dennis Trewin is leading a team of enthusiastic, efficient and welcoming local organisers, and I am confident that the Sydney Session will be a remarkable event in all respects. Please do not forget to mark April 5-12, 2005 on your calendar! A preliminary list of invited paper topics is enclosed here.

Looking further ahead, in Berlin, the ISI General Assembly formally accepted the proposal to hold the 2007 Session in Lisboa, Portugal. Also, the ISI Council accepted the proposal to stage the 2009 ISI Session in Durban, South Africa. We are privileged to have such attractive Session destinations on the horizon.

Membership

We welcome the thirty-two new ISI members elected in the first round of the 2003 elections (their names appear here). During the General Assembly meeting in Berlin, the membership voted in support of the four Moore Report proposals that were introduced to simplify the nomination process. Effective immediately, there will be no maximum quota for newly elected members; there will be no proportional restriction for members from any nationality; three standing ISI member expressions of support for a nomination are required instead of five; and it is no longer necessary to obtain such support from one’s own nationality. It has been observed that the average age of members has increased considerably, and only increased membership nominations can counter this effect. Nomination forms can be completed and electronically submitted via https://www.isi-web.org/404?candidateform.htm  (additional details, and alternative PDF and Word versions of the forms are available at https://www.isi-web.org/404?membership.htm ). Please nominate at least one qualified person for ISI membership this coming year!

Awards

Several noteworthy awards were conferred during the Berlin Session. The first ISI Mahalanobis Prize was bestowed upon C.R. Rao in recognition of his outstanding contributions to the statistical profession. Conscious of the need to recognise the emerging talents of young statisticians from developing countries, the Jan Tinbergen awards were granted to C.G.B. Burgos (Philippines) and A. Toma (Romania), and the IASS bestowed its Cochran-Hansen Award to Palipudi Krishna Mohan (India). A first for the ISI, special ISI Service Awards were conferred upon Constance van Eeden, Agnes Herzberg, Chris Heyde and David Moore in recognition of their tremendous contributions to the ISI over the course of many years. 

ISI Council

As is the case at every biennial juncture, the elected members of the ISI Council have now begun their tenure. While the names of the newly elected Council were announced earlier (see ISI Newsletter volume 27, No. 1, 2003 or visit https://www.isi-web.org/404?NLet/NLet031.htm#09OfficerElection ), we profile the new members of the ISI Executive Committee here. 

Publications

The new Oxford Dictionary of Statistical Terms (Yadolah Dodge, editor), which is published by Oxford University Press on behalf of the ISI, was presented to participants of the Berlin Session. All ISI members are entitled to a 25% discount from the subscription price (Details: see hard copy Newsletter). 

The International Statistical Review and the Bernoulli journal will be available on-line in 2004 via Project Euclid, an electronic dissemination programme of the Cornell University Library. (More...).

We are pleased to announce that Eugene Seneta has been named as the new co-editor of the International Statistical Review, joining ongoing editor Asta Maninnen. We are grateful to retiring editor Elja Arjas for his support. We are also fortunate to have two new additions to the Statistical Theory and Method Abstracts editorial team. Klaas Van Harn (general editor for probability) and Bert Van Es (general editor for statistics) will join ongoing editor Constance van Eeden (general editor for statistics) in determining the content of this abstract reference resource. We are grateful to outgoing STMA editor Fred Steutel. STMA is available in both CD ROM and an improved on-line format. A recent announcement, Peter McCullagh will assume editorial responsibilities for the Bernoulli journal as of January 2004. Many thanks to retiring editors Willem (Bill) Van Zwet and Sara Van de Geer.

For subscription details for all ISI publications, please contact the ISI Permanent Office at @cbs.nl.

Dues

Preparations are being made for 2004 invoices for all ISI and Section members. Please make certain that your most recent postal and e-mail address details are in our possession (check our current record of ISI members at https://www.isi-web.org/404?ISImembers.PDF  
- you can automatically submit changes via https://www.isi-web.org/404?ISImembers-corrform.htm ). 

Unfortunately, many ISI and Section members have still not paid their 2003 membership dues. Please contact the ISI Permanent Office should you have any questions in this regard. 

Looking Back

The German writer J.W. Von Goethe once remarked that "he who cannot draw on three thousand years is living from hand to mouth". This volume of the Newsletter sees the introduction of a new column, prepared by the ISI History of Statistics Committee

Chairman David Bellhouse, paying brief tribute to the statisticians who have made significant contributions to their profession. For this issue, we celebrate the 100th anniversary of the birth of the brilliant Russian statistician (and ISI member) Andrei Nikolaevich Kolmogorov (1903-1987).

Daniel Berze
Director ISI 

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ISI New ISI Executive Committee Representatives (2003-2005)

Stephen M. Stigler

(U.S.A.)

Niels Keiding

(Denmark)

Jae Chang Lee

(Korea)

Pilar Martín-Guzmán

(Spain)

Nicholas I. Fisher

(Australia)

President

President-Elect

Vice-President

Vice-President

Vice-President

The entire ISI Council is listed at: https://www.isi-web.org/404?council.htm 


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News of Members 

First International Mahalanobis Prize Awarded to C.R. Rao

 

The first international Mahalanobis Prize established by the Indian Government and the ISI two years ago, through its Ministry for Statistics and Program Implementation, has been awarded to Professor C.R. Rao in recognition of his lifetime achievements in Statistics. 

Calyampudi R. Rao has been amongst the world leaders in statistical science over the last sixty years. He spent forty years of his life in India, promoting the study of Statistics, developing research and training programmes, and producing outstanding students, which “put India not far from the central statistical map of the world”. He has received the Mahalonobis Prize from the ISI during its 54th Session in Berlin for his fundamental contributions to Statistics and, especially, for developing Statistics in the South East Asia region. 

As an Emeritus Holder of the Eberly Family Chair in Statistics, C.R. Rao gave an invited address titled “Living in a Fast Changing World” during the 2003 annual convocation at the University of Calcutta, India, where he was awarded an honorary doctorate degree, the twenty-eighth honorary degree he has received from universities in sixteen countries. 

Professor Rao has also been awarded the prestigious Srinivasa Ramanujan Medal by the Indian National Science Academy, which is given once in three years for outstanding contributions to the discipline of mathematics or a related subject. Eminence is to be judged in accordance with the criterion that the scientific work of the candidate is such that its impact has been felt for a considerable length of time. 
C.R. Rao is a Fellow of the Royal Society (UK), National Medal of Science Laureate (USA) and a Member of the National Academy of Sciences (USA) and is an ISI Honorary Member.

Professor Fionn Murtagh, an IASC member, has been elected to membership of the Royal Irish Academy in March 2003.

Professor Robert A. Cléroux, an elected member of the ISI, retired from the Université de Montréal on May 31st of this year. He has been honoured with the title of Emeritus Professor. 

Brad Efron, Professor of Statistics and Max H. Stein, Professor of Humanities and Sciences at Stanford University, was awarded C.R. & Bhargavi Rao Prize in April 2003 at the Statistics Department, Pennsylvania State University. The prize is established to honor and recognise outstanding and influential innovations in the theory and practise of mathematical statistics, international leadership in directing statistical research, and pioneering contributions by a recognised leader in the field of statistics.

Professor Efron is recognised for his fundamental contributions to statistical science creating a wide impact on the current theory and practise of statistics. His contributions include bootstrap hailed as the most important new idea in statistics in the last three or four decades, statistical curvature in estimation theory, empirical Bayes methods, survival analysis, clinical trials, likelihood theory and survey sampling.

Brad Efron (centre) with C.R. Rao and Mrs. Bhargavi Rao

 

 

Visitors to ISI Permanent Office

From right to left: 
J.-L. Bodin, A. Kishore, A. Kulshreshtha, D. Berze

On October 9, 2003, the ISI Permanent Office welcomed Dr. Adarsh Kishore (Secretary, Indian Ministry of Statistics & Programme Implementation), Dr. A.C.Kulshreshtha (Additional Director General, Central Statistical Office, Indian Ministry of Statistics & Programme Implementation) and ISI Mahalanobis Committee Chairman Mr. Jean-Louis Bodin (ADETEF, Ministry of Finance and Industry, France), to discuss preparations for the forthcoming edition of the Mahalanobis Committee and various other ongoing cooperation projects.


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In Memoriam 

Professor Gijsbert Goudswaard 
(1912 - 2003)

Former Director of the Permanent Office of the ISI and 
Director General of Statistics Netherlands

Introduction
On the 18th of September, Statistics Netherlands lost Professor Gijsbert Goudswaard, who held the post of Director General from 1974-1977. Goudswaard was equally respected internationally as he was in his home country. He was the Director of the Permanent Office of the ISI, Professor in Statistics, and led Statistics Netherlands during its most turbulent time in history. It was a time when half of Statistics Netherlands was forced to move to a southern city in the Netherlands (Heerlen). This move was a gigantic undertaking that Goudswaard was able to complete successfully thanks to his diplomatic skills. At an age when most people, nowadays, take early retirement, Goudswaard stepped up to the plate only to be confronted with an extremely difficult task. With his tactfulness, he succeeded in organising the move, so that it was near completion when he retired. 
 

National and International Activities

After completing his studies, Goudswaard joined the Permanent Office of the ISI as a staff member in 1945. Since the ISI Permanent Office’s establishment in 1913, the organisation has been situated in the Statistics Netherlands headquarters. At the time when Goudswaard joined, Methorst was the Director of the Permanent Office (1913-1947), which he combined with being the Director General of Statistics Netherlands until 1939. This was the environment in which Goudswaard absorbed the ins and outs while getting to know the staff members of Statistics Netherlands.

In 1948, Goudswaard followed in Methorst’s footsteps as Director of the Permanent Office. The following year, he was appointed lecturer in Statistics at the Free University of Amsterdam. With the lecture “Modern Statistics and Its Place in Higher Education”, he assumed his new post. His lecture covered an interesting point of view about the nature of statistics prevalent in those days. He also emphasized the responsibility that statistical offices should have “in order to avoid mistrust or unwillingness, it is necessary to provide the appropriate information about the intended statistical objective for which data is being collected, and to restrict the data collection burden to an absolute minimum”, words which ring true even today. Three years later, he received the exceptional title of Professor in Statistics at the Economics Department of the same university. His inaugural speech explored the aspect of “Specialisation, Integration and International Statistics”. His speech mainly covered the topic of international cooperation of statistics. Another piece of work worth mentioning is his involvement in 1955 to a popular multi-volume textbook on statistics for economists, which O. Bakker (former Acting Director of Statistics Netherlands) had written, and had at least ten editions since 1934. Goudswaard’s contribution is the first volume of this book entitled “The Statistical Method” (8th edition).

One of the most important tasks of the ISI is organising conferences, where statisticians from all over the globe participate. The Director of the Permanent Office is responsible for the organisation of these conferences. In 1947, Goudswaard took part in the first post-World War II ISI Session in Washington D.C. He was also an editor of those proceedings. The ISI conferences that took place in Berne (1949), New Delhi (1951), Rome (1953) and Rio de Janeiro (1955) were all organised by Goudswaard. Even when he joined Statistics Netherlands, Goudswaard remained active within the ISI. He was chosen as Secretary General (1957-61; 1965-69) on two occasions, and during his tenure as the Director General of Statistics Netherlands, he was also Vice-President of the ISI.

His efforts and achievements received international recognition in 1970 when he was chosen to serve as Honorary Fellow of the Royal Statistical Society of London. It was not only an honour to receive this title, but also an honour bestowed on very few.

Statistics Netherlands

In 1954, Goudswaard changed the post that he held at the ISI for that of Board Adviser at Statistics Netherlands, which in 1961 was changed to the personal title of Scientific Adviser. In that position, he advised the Board on all statistical matters, and he also gathered knowledge on all the work of Statistics Netherlands. In 1964, Goudswaard was named Adjunct Director of Statistics Netherlands. At that juncture, Idenburg was Director General and Verstege his Deputy Director General. The latter succeeded Idenburg in 1966 and Goudswaard ascended into Verstege’s former position. I experienced Goudswaard first-hand when he was in that position. There was a plan to hold a budget survey in 1973, which was unexpectedly delayed at the European Community level. How was the Netherlands to proceed? Verstege and Goudswaard were faced with various Statistics Netherlands’ problems. What I noticed from this was Goudswaard’s practical view. Such were the precise qualities Statistics Netherlands needed in 1973 when it had organisational difficulties as a result of the Dutch Government’s decision to displace half of Statistics Netherlands (approximately 1,000 jobs) staff to Heerlen.

Verstege resisted the Government’s decision and, therefore, resigned from his post in January of 1973. 

Goudswaard followed in Verstege’s footsteps. His first task was the partial relocation of Statistics Netherlands into two offices to be completed in the course of four to five years. According to Minister Langman of Economic Affairs, the internal and external function of Statistics Netherlands (the quality of statistics produced) was not to be endangered. That was easier said than done. As a consequence of the relocation, there was a time frame during which some statistical work could not be performed and that caused a major backlog of work, which took years to catch up on.

Even then, Langman wanted to know the possibilities of moving a thousand jobs to Heerlen for the long-term. In the beginning of 1996, I discussed this topic in an interview with Goudswaard, where he told me that having noticed the objections of the employees, he had expressed his discontent to the Government about their request. Together with the Chairman of the Central Commission for Statistics, Professor De Wolff, he was able to convince Langman’s successor, Minister Lubbers, that the Government’s request was unattainable.

Even so, the unrest amongst Statistics Netherlands employees remained. Goudswaard then decided in February of 1974 to inform his staff at the Voorburg office that in the event of a transfer, their jobs would be reserved for them in Voorburg. As a result, his employees were appeased. This pledge, as Goudswaard acknowledged, he did of his own authority. The Ministry of Economic Affairs was displeased with Goudswaard’s actions. His pledge was however based on his personnel assessment, whereby he took into account the repair and expansion programme.

During his career at Statistics Netherlands, Goudswaard also acted as Secretary of the Central Commission for Statistics in the Netherlands, which is an organisation that furthers the statistical information service of the Government and judges the work programme of Statistics Netherlands. From 1973-1977, Goudswaard participated in this Commission. For the duration of his Statistics Netherlands career, Goudswaard continued (one day in the week) his professorship in Statistics at the Free University of Amsterdam. Furthermore, he was an honorary member of the Dutch Association for Statistics.

Goudswaard’s merit was also recognised by the Dutch Government. In 1975, he received a knighthood (Ridder in de Orde van de Nederlandse Leeuw), and with his departure from Statistics Netherlands, he was appointed Commander of the Royal Order (Oranje-Nassau) by Queen Juliana.

Jacques Van Maarseveen
Historian
Statistics Netherlands


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Marie-Jeanne Laurent-Duhamel (1916 - 2003)
Marie-Jeanne Laurent-Duhamel passed away this summer on August 11th in Mantes, France. She was eighty-six years old and her departure marks the end of an era in the history of statistics and of the Statistical Societies in France, to which she had devoted sixty years of her life.

Marie-Jeanne, as we knew and called her, was born in Boulogne sur Mer, in northern France on December 5th, 1916. Her career in statistics began in 1939. As a brilliant student in mathematics, she was the first woman appointed in statistics by the French CNRS (Centre National de Recherche Scientifique). Her field of study was mathematical statistics, discriminant analysis and stochastic elements. She worked under the direction of Georges Darmois, ISI President from 1953 to 1960, and Maurice Fréchet. During World War II, she put aside her research work and taught in a secondary school. She resumed her work as a researcher in 1946 and graduated from the ISUP (Institut de Statistique de l’Université de Paris) in 1947. She obtained a Ph.D. in statistics in 1956 at the famous "La Sorbonne", in Paris, while working at that time in Lisbon for the CNRS.

From 1949 to 1953, she taught as a lecturer at the University of Hanoi, Vietnam. After 1953, while officially appointed as a Professor at the University of Bordeaux, France, she was sent to the University of Lisbon (Portugal) (where her husband, Pierre Laurent, Professor of Chemistry, was working in the French Cultural Council), then to the University of Antananarivo (Madagascar) for four years. In 1968, she finally moved back to France and took a position at the University of Pau, in the south of France, where she was to stay until her retirement in 1980. In each of these duty places, she readily accepted all the administrative and teaching duties that came her way. She was repeatedly Chair of the Mathematics Department, and she designed new series of courses. Concurrently, she was involved in numerous applied research projects, public and private, ranging from economics and politics to agriculture and biology.

In Pau, as the President of the University, she had to face the aftermath of the academic turmoil of May 1968, and implemented the new structures of French universities. However, her activities were not limited to the regional level; she also participated in a number of national committees. Among them, the "Commission Pédagogique Nationale des Instituts Universitaires de Technologie (IUT)", which has life and death power on the departments in the IUTs. Marie-Jeanne’s presence was important and many a time decisive for the sake of the Departments of Statistics.

In Marie-Jeanne's own words, “In the field of probability and statistics, there are so many applications and not enough specialists. Consequently, since 1949, I came to be responsible, at all levels, for research, courses, and teaching methods in many fields (math, biology, medicine, languages, human sciences, economics, training for math teachers, teaching practise for others). In Pau, I participated in the local, regional and national levels of the general organisation of secondary and higher education”.

In 1980, she officially retired. Fortunately, she went on fiercely, obstinately, successfully, in her task of defending, promoting, publicising statistics and regrouping statisticians. She began in the seventies, when the French statistical environment was going through an identity crisis. French statisticians were in want of a space where they could meet and communicate. Marie-Jeanne, with her qualities strengthened all over the world, with her scientific competence, her sensibility, her deep understanding knowledge of people, her open-mindedness, her visionary spirit, was a leader. She managed to master the divergences, to unite the forces, within the ASU (Association des Statisticiens Universitaires) at a crucial time. Later, in the late nineties, she strongly helped in managing to unify all the French statistical societies within the new SFdS (Société Française de Statistique). A totally unselfish person, she served the collectivity she belonged to by representing and promoting the French statistical community, inside and outside France. With an acute sense of scientific policy analysis, she used her national and international influence and friends, statistical or not, to further her cause.

She chaired all the French statistical societies of the ASU, of course, but also the Société de Statistique de Paris, the Société de Statistique de France, and the French Foundation "La Science Statistique". In recognition of all these positions, she was elected as an Honorary President of the ASU and later of the SFdS. She was a member of many national and international societies: the Royal Statistical Society, the Biometric Society, the Italian Society of Statistics, etc. A member of the ISI (elected in 1973), she was Vice-President of the National Organising Committee of the 47th Session of the ISI held in Paris (1989). She was elected a member of the ISI Council (1993-1997) and attended every meeting of the Council (ISI Sessions in Florence, Beijing and Istanbul, as well as the meetings organised in Voorburg in 1994 and in Washington D.C. in 1996). She also participated with enthusiasm in nearly all ISI Sessions. Through some coincidences only history holds the secret of; she left us just two days before the Opening ceremony of the Berlin Session.

Her interest in teaching was deep. She participated in the creation of the “Groupe Enseignement” in the ASU in 1988 and in the writing of a “Livre Blanc sur l’Enseignement de la Statistique en France”. She was a member of the IASE Interim Committee in 1991 which established the new association, and she attended nearly every session of the IASE.

She received many official rewards; she was promoted an Officier de la Légion d’Honneur in 2001, and Commandeur de l’Ordre des Palmes Académiques. Above all these distinctions, she valued the regard and the friendship we all felt for her. We will remember her for her work, her wholeheartedness, her many stories and anecdotes, her fidelity and attachment to statistics and to her friends.

To her family and, especially, to her nephew and niece who took care of her these last years, and who kindly insisted on including her statistician friends to the church ceremony, we express our deepest sympathy.

Marie-Jeanne has left us. A great lady has gone.

Nelly Hanoune

 

Deceased Members

The ISI regrets to announce the death of our colleagues:

   Born  Elected Deceased

Professor Gunnar Blom

1920

1965

01 August 2003

Professor Gijsbert Goudswaard

1912

1954

18 September 2003

Professor Akio Kudo

1928

1976

03 February 2003

Professor Marie-Jeanne Laurent-Duhamel

1916

1974

11 August 2003

Dr. Tito A. Mijares

1922

1980

18 August 2002

Mr. Jean-Paul Rivet

1934

1986

06 June 2003


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Historical Anniversaries: A.N. Kolmogorov

Historical Anniversaries: Andrei Nikolaevich Kolmogorov 
(April 25, 1903, Tambov – October 20, 1987, Moscow) 

Kolmogorov was one of the best and broadest mathematicians of the 20th century. Through his publications, which numbered in excess of three hundred, he contributed to almost every area of mathematics except number theory. In probability theory alone, he established the foundations of probability and made fundamental contributions to the theory of stochastic processes.

Having entered Moscow State University at the age of seventeen, Kolmogorov graduated from that institution in 1925 and remained there as a research student until 1929. By the time he graduated, Kolmogorov already had half a dozen or more publications. He obtained a faculty position at Moscow State in 1929 against some heavy competition (there were about seventy research students finishing in that year) and was made Professor in 1931. In 1937, he was appointed Chair of Probability.

Kolmogorov’s interest in probability theory began as an undergraduate while working with A.Y. Khinchin on generalisation of Khinchin’s work on the Law of Iterated Logarithm. From there, Kolmogorov made enormous strides. In his finishing year as a research student, Kolmogorov published a paper in Russian whose title in English is General Theory of Measure and the Calculus of Probability. In the words of Von Plato (Creating Modern Probability), the approach to measure theoretic probability in this paper “was programmatic in character.” The ideas of the paper were reworked when Kolmogorov found that he needed to put measure-theoretic probability on a firm foundation after working on a problem in continuous time random processes related to statistical physics. The end result was the path breaking 1933 monograph Grundbegriffe der Wahrscheinlichkeitsrechnung, which in 1950 was translated into English under the title Foundations of the Theory of Probability. The foundational system for probability that he laid out are now known as Kolmogorov’s axioms of probability.

Further in probability, Kolmogorov established two systems of partial differential equations that describe the transition probabilities controlling a Markov process and made fundamental contributions to Markov chains and random stationary processes.

Later in life, Kolmogorov took a keen interest in the mathematical education of school children, serving as Chairman of the Commission for Mathematical Education in the U.S.S.R.

David Bellhouse
Chairman
ISI History of Statistics Committee


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Awards, Prizes & Competitions

The 2004 DeGroot Prize: Call for Entries

The DeGroot Prize is awarded to the author or authors of a published book in Statistical Science. The Prize is named after Morris (”Morrie”) H. DeGroot, and recognises the impact and importance of his work in Statistics and Decision Theory, and his marked influence on the evolution of the discipline over several decades through his personal scholarship, educational and professional leadership. The prize, in particular, recognises DeGroot’s authorship and editorship of major books that had marked impact on the development of the field and the value he placed on the role of books generally.

Award winning books will be textbooks or monographs concerned with fundamental issues of statistical inference, decision theory and/or statistical applications, and will be chosen based on their novelty, thoroughness, timeliness, and importance of their intellectual scope. 

The Prize, awarded every two years, is administered by the International Society for Bayesian Analysis and consists of $1500 and a plaque. The first Prize was awarded in 2002 to:

Robert G. Cowell, A. Philip Dawid, Steffen Lauritzen, and David J. Spiegelhalter (1999). Probabilistic Networks and Expert Systems. Springer-Verlag, New York.

Nominations for the 2004 award must be received by December 31st, 2003. Only books published during the five-year period ending December 31st, 2002 are eligible for consideration for the prize this year. There is no restriction on publisher or country of publication. Books authored or co-authored by members of the Selection Committee are ineligible for consideration. The winner of the 2004 DeGroot Prize will be announced at the ISBA International Meeting in Chile in May 2004. 

Letters of nomination should be submitted electronically to the Chair of the Selection Committee, Professor Stephen E. Fienberg, Carnegie Mellon University, at fienberg@stat.cmu.edu. Nominations should include the name of the author(s) and the book, the date of publication, and a very brief one or two sentences supporting statement. If the book does not include any biographical information on the author(s), then a brief one-paragraph biographical statement for each author would be helpful. 
Copies of the nomination letter and the book should be sent directly to each of the Committee members. A full list of the Committee members and their addresses appear at the end of this announcement.

Morris (”Morrie”) H. DeGroot was born on June 8th, 1931 in Scranton, Pennsylvania. He graduated from Roosevelt University in Mathematics, and then studied Statistics at the University of Chicago. He came to Carnegie Mellon in 1957 and was appointed founding Head of the Department of Statistics in 1966. Morrie spent the rest of his career as a member of the department. He died on November 2nd, 1989. 

Morrie led an unusually active and productive academic life. He wrote three books, edited four volumes (three as a member of the Valencia Meeting Organising Committee), and authored over one hundred papers. Morrie’s first book, Optimal Statistical Decisions, helped educate a generation of statisticians and is one of the greatest books in the field. Published in 1970, and subsequently translated into both Russian and Polish, it provided an elegant and comprehensive treatment of a subject that has since come to be recognised as an essential part of statistics. In 1975, his undergraduate text, Probability and Statistics, was published. It played an important role in mathematical statistics curricula throughout the country. These books served as the inspiration for the creation of the DeGroot Prize.

The 2004 DeGroot Prize Selection Committee: see http://www.bayesian.org/ 


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The Invited Papers Programme
for the 55th ISI Session to be held in Sydney (5-12 April, 2005)

There will be one or a few theme days during the 55th Session, each comprised of three invited paper meetings and perhaps some supplementary activities. The Programme Co-ordinating Committee is proposing the following themes: “Statistics and Finance”, “Environmental Statistics” and “Genomic Data.”

Tutorials: There will be at least one tutorial.

Partial and tentative list of invited paper meetings (IPM):

1. President’s IPM
2. Best papers from developing countries
3. Random matrices and methods for high dimensional data
4. Recent developments in financial econometrics 
5. Nonparametric methods for functional data 
6. Nonparametric methods for structural econometric models 
7. Errors in measurement: recent advances 
8. Stochastic networks 
9. Inverse problems and functional estimation 
10. Recent developments in joint modelling of longitudinal and survival models 
11. Sampling methods for animal populations 
12. Local parametric modelling for curve estimation 
13. Estimation of the support and efficiency frontiers 
14. Internet tomography 
15. IAOS forum
16. Impact of the “international indicators of development” movement on national statistical programme priorities 
17. Statistical measurement issues requiring collaboration among NSOs
18. Statistics on international migration
19. Response burden and response rates
20. The role of official statistics in innovation, knowledge management and development of the new economy
21. The regional and urban dimension of official statistics: small area statistics and data of particular relevance to regional and urban planning (SCORUS item)
22. Standards for regional and urban indicators (SCORUS item)23. Functional data analysis in quantitative finance
25. Statistical learning from data
26. Computational tools for microarray analysis 
27. Statistical environments in the network age
28. Computational advances based on the EM algorithm
29. Pattern recognition in high dimensions
30. Introduction to technical aspects of DNA microarray experiments
31. The PLS (Partial Least Squares) approach in data analysis
32. The use of simulation in statistics education
33. Reasoning about variation
34. Teaching statistics on-line
35. Statistical literacy 
36. Quality assurance in statistics education
37. Ethical standards in statistics education
38. Using history of statistics to enhance the teaching of statistics 
39. Developments in the analysis of longitudinal survey data
40. Use of model diagnostics in survey sampling
41. Calibration in practise
42. Quality measurement and reporting for surveys
43. Resampling methods for variance estimation in complex surveys
44. Experiences in data collection with internet surveys
45. Inferential potentials of non-probability samples
46. Confidentiality protection in national statistical offices
47. Surveys of small and medium sized enterprises 

Stephan Morgenthaler
Chairman
ISI Programme Co-ordinating Committee

Sydney ISI Session Representatives with NOC Chairman 
Dennis Trewin in Berlin

Sydney: April 5 - 12 2005 (logo)


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ISI Membership Elections

We congratulate the thirty-two new ISI members who were elected in the first round of the 2003 ISI membership elections. For those who wish to contact any of these individuals, please note that the ISI website contains a component including the names and addresses of all ISI members (see https://www.isi-web.org/404?ISImembers.PDF ), and these new members will be added to this list in the coming weeks.

Belkindas, M. (Lithuania)
Biemer, Paul P. (USA)
Calò, Giuseppe (Italy)
Clark, Megan J. (New Zealand)
Demotes-Mainard, Magali (France)
Dharmadhikari, Avinash (India)
Diaz Muñoz, Pedro (Spain)
Dunne, Timothy T. (South Africa)
Edmondson, Rodney N. (UK)
Elvers, Eva (Sweden)
Feldmann, Bertold W. (Germany)
Fenwick, David A.H. (UK)
Fuentes, Montserrat (Spain)
Hajiyev, Asaf (Azerbaijan)
Jalaluddin, Muhammad (Bangladesh)
Lee, Stephen M.S. (Hong Kong SAR, China)
Lindner, Andreas (Germany)
Mikkelsen, Lene (Denmark)
Mosler, Karl (Germany)
Nandram, Balgobin (USA)
Öller, Lars-Erik (Finland)
Pfannkuch, Maxine J. (New Zealand)
Rüger, Bernhard R. (Germany)
Schlittgen, Rainer (Germany)
Sivers, Larry A. (USA)
Strohe, Hans G. (Germany)
Thabana, Lehana (Canada)
Trant, Michael J. (Canada)
Van den Broecke, Marcel P.R. (Netherlands)
Wang, Naisyin (USA)
Warschburger, Sabine (Germany)
Zhu, Lixing (China)

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Report of the ISI Nominations Committee

 At the ISI Session in Berlin, a Nominations Committee consisting of the following people was designated with the charge of identifying a slate of candidates for Officers and Council Members: M. Euriat (France - Chair), M. Chamie (USA), C. Feijo (Brazil), C. Malaguerra (Switzerland), B. Phillips (Australia) and Y. Tanaka (Japan).

The Committee met several times during the Berlin Session, formulating a preliminary listing of potential candidates, including those who were brought to its attention by other members of the ISI and its Sections. The Committee then began the task of contacting candidates to request their consent to serve and the ISI Permanent Office followed up to obtain the necessary biographical details and mission statements. The election ballots will be prepared and sent, together with the biographical details, to all eligible ISI members in May 2004.
The final slate that resulted is:

1. List of ISI Members Proposed by the Nominations Committee for the Next Executive Committee (2005-2007)

As President-Elect: 
Jae Chang LEE (Korea)
Professor, Department of Statistics, Korea University (Seoul, Korea)

Denise LIEVESLEY (United Kingdom)
Director, UNESCO Institute for Statistics (Montreal, Canada)

As Vice-President:
Beverley CARLSON (USA)
UN Economic Commission for Latin America and the Caribbean (Santiago de Chile)

Maria T. CARRE (Argentina)
Instituto Nacional de Estadística y Censos (INDEC) (Buenos Aires)

Len COOK (New Zealand)
Director, Office for National Statistics (London, UK)

Nicholas FISHER (Australia)
Principal, ValueMetrics Australia (MacMahons Point, NSW, Australia)

Gilbert SAPORTA (France)
Professor, Holder of the Applied Statistics Chair, Conservatoire National des Arts et Métiers (Paris, France)

2. List of ISI Members Proposed by the Nominations Committee for the Council (2005-2009)
Hasan ABU-LIBDEH (Palestine)
President, Palestinian Central Bureau of Statistics, Ramallah

Jean-Jacques DROESBEKE (Belgium)
Professor, Université Libre de Bruxelles

Abdel El-SHAARAWI (Canada and Egypt)
Research Scientist at the National Water Research Institute, Burlington, Ontario, Canada

Wing Kam FUNG (Hong Kong SAR, China)
Associate Dean, Faculty of Social Sciences, and Professor, Department of Statistics and Actuarial Science, University of Hong Kong

Akihiko ITO (Japan)
Chair, Japan Statistical Association, Former Director-General of the Statistics Bureau of Japan, Yokohama

Susan LINACRE (Australia)
Deputy Australian Statistician, Population Statistics Group, Australian Bureau of Statistics, Canberra

Almut STEGER (Germany)
Head, Division of Balance of Payment Statistics, German Central Bank, Frankfurt/Main

Chris WILD (New Zealand)
Head of the Department of Statistics, The University of Auckland

I would like to thank all the members of the Committee for their co-operation and input (submitted on behalf of the Nominations Committee Chair, Michel Euriat).

A short statement from each of the candidates, expressing their expected contribution to the ISI if elected, is given below:

PRESIDENT-ELECT (2005-2007)
LEE, Jae Chang
(Professor, Department of Statistics, Korea University, Seoul, Korea)
The ISI has reached a critical point in its development. At the same time as there is a dramatic worldwide increase in the demand for high quality statisticians, the ISI is faced with serious membership problems. The membership is ageing, and there is significant imbalance in terms of gender, geographical region and areas of specialisation. The report from the Moore Committee on Membership Expansion and Renewal highlighted many of these problems and made a range of recommendations, some of which are already being implemented. Of course, many other professional societies face similar problems. 

A critical factor in resolving the membership problem is to ensure that the ISI is providing attractive and valuable programmes to its members. In seeking to do this, we need to realise that an ever-increasing degree of specialisation in our discipline leads to a greater diversity in the sorts of programmes that different parts of the membership will value. At the same time, we need to look for ways to provide linkages between these groups. Academic statisticians, producers of official statistics, bioinformatics experts, computational statisticians, statistical educators: all these groups have important approaches and techniques that can be of value to other groups. An important role for the ISI is in making it as easy as possible for them to communicate with each other. Of course, many other professional societies face similar problems. We need to see what we can learn from them. 

It is also timely for the ISI to carry out some careful strategic planning, to provide guidance about how we want our conferences, workshops, publications, website, and other member services to evolve. The ISI Sections will have a major role to play, in helping to define the sort of ISI we would like to have in five to ten years time. The Sections are very active and are an important means of recruiting younger members to the ISI. More Sections may be forming soon, to cope with the needs of newly emerging branches of statistical science and its applications. We also need to start surveying the ISI and Section members regularly, to monitor their requirements and their perceptions of our current performance, and to respond to these.

Another vital strategic issue for the ISI is that of ensuring its financial viability, and the viability of its supporting infrastructure, the Permanent Office. I hope to bring more corporate members to the ISI, enterprises which can contribute financially while gaining significantly from participation in ISI activities. One possible way to attract them is to create an award for the corporate member enterprise that clearly employs ‘best statistical practise’ as a vital part of the way it conducts its activities. The ISI will gain through receiving corporate sponsorship and through its championing of excellence. The enterprise will gain from winning a prestigious award from the leading international statistics body. 
These are the main issues that I hope to address, if elected as ISI President.

LIEVESLEY, Denise A.
(Director, Institute for Statistics, UNESCO, Montreal, Canada)
If elected President of the ISI, I would give priority to the following areas:

Accessibility and Participation in the Institute
To continue as a vibrant and exciting organisation, we must make it easier for younger statisticians to participate in our activities, as well as engaging more of our members in our work. We must also modernise the way we operate not only by making more use of technology, but also by devising better ways of communicating with those in poorer countries and other members who do not have access to the Internet.

Representing Diversity
We are justifiably proud of our record in bringing together statisticians from so many diverse fields. However, we must ensure that we continue to represent this broad and changing community and that our work remains of relevance to our members across the spectrum. A review of the coverage and number of sections is overdue, while ideas for new areas of interest for the ISI should be encouraged. 

Recruitment to the Profession
Faced with the world-wide shortage of trained statisticians, I would seek collaboration between the ISI and national statistical societies to address the urgent problems of recruitment and retention in both the developed and the developing world. Training for entry into the profession and continuing professional development for practising statisticians are vital and the ISI should provide a forum for improving the quality and accessibility of statistical education.

Integrity and Ethics
Sound public policies are critically dependent on the integrity and high quality of official statistics. The ISI should support statisticians within and outside government, collaborating to ensure an appropriate balance between policy relevance and political independence. I would be keen to see the wider dissemination and application of the ISI code of professional ethics.

VICE-PRESIDENT (2005-2007)
CARLSON, Beverley A.
(Development Statistician, United Nations Economic Commission for Latin America and the Caribbean, Santiago, Chile)
In today's globalising yet fragmented world, the ISI, with its long tradition of bringing the world's statisticians together, has an ever more important role to play in fostering communication among statisticians, providing a professional forum for the exchange of statistical practises and their cross-fertilisation. I have pursued the goal of international statistical development throughout my professional career in the US Bureau of the Census, the United Nations and in over forty countries. It is clear is that the integration of international statistical practise and standards has taken on more importance as the world globalises, and is something all countries are striving to achieve. We need to find creative ways to make use of the ISI's unique institutional framework and internationally recognised integrity for the advancement of these goals. I consider it a privilege to have been nominated for Vice-President and I would bring great commitment to serving the ISI in that position.

One of the major challenges facing the ISI is membership expansion and renewal. Membership growth has been relatively stagnant in recent years and this has long-term implications for the dynamics of our institution. The challenge we face is to increase membership, attract more young statisticians, broaden country and regional representation, as well as continue our efforts to improve the gender balance. We have a long-term task to implement the recommendations of the Committee on Membership Expansion and Renewal and, if elected, I would make use of our work, and as former Chair of the ISI Committee on Women in Statistics, toward this goal. We will need to be pro-active and provide greater incentives to attract and retain potential members. I would also like to contribute towards these goals through further developing the ISI's Internet applications and outreach, in collaboration with the Sections and ISI membership.

A unique quality of the ISI is the strength of its Sections and their relationship with the ISI and with each other. We could make better use of this to develop greater synergies among them. The Sections are a valuable and logical conduit, for example, for the ISI membership and many potential ISI members participate at ISI conferences through their Sections. I have been working closely with the IASS and the IASE, and professionally in the areas of educational measurement and literacy, national statistical capacity building, statistical methodology and standards, and household surveys. I believe that these experiences can be helpful in my contributions, if elected.

CARRE, Maria T.
(Instituto Nacional de Estadística y Censos (INDEC), Buenos Aires, Argentina)
The International Statistical Institute has a long tradition encouraging statistical development all over the world. It is a unique international organisation that involves all statisticians and all statistics. 

However, I would like to consider the challenges faced by the ISI, which are derived from the less favourable situation with respect to the developing world. In most of these countries, resources are clearly not in line with needs and they require cost effective financial and technical assistance.

If elected, I would like to help the ISI in findings ways of promoting activities oriented towards the improvement of the statistical capability, where efforts are more needed.

I would also work on promoting strategies that allow statisticians from different groups or sessions in ISI to better communicate and to set stronger links. In my opinion, two other issues are very important and should be considered: revision and dissemination of the Code of Ethics, and recruitment of new members.

COOK, Leonard W.
(National Statistician, Office for National Statistics, United Kingdom and former Government Statistician of New Zealand)
Statisticians play a critical part in the understanding of public questions, by how they are translated into what we can measure, and how statistical results are given relevance through inference and presentation. While official statistics have a special visibility in public life, trust in statistics comes from the understanding citizens get from the vast range of statistical activity that reaches the public domain, and from the statistical practises of the media, politicians and advocates. 
The driving force, for much of the statistical activity that I have been engaged in, has been for timely and confident decision making in government and community through statistics that are fit for use.

As scientists, we have a vital place in informing decisions, and so our own methodologies need to be as open to public communication as the anecdote and dogma we replace. We do this by enabling our work to be understood, and reproduced by our peers in their field. Those who need the analyses must be able to understand them. Due to the vital role we play in challenging the relevance of dogma and eternal truths, in public policy, science and society, it is critical that we be most open about our own judgements and dogma. This must, in the end, be an essential outcome of professional training and development, to make transparent those elements of our work where methodology is underpinned by judgement. The ISI is a very special international authority for defining our expectations, and providing the context and visibility for statisticians to gain confidence and competence in this. In advancing public trust in statistics, I would welcome the opportunity to continue the work of the ISI in advancing what we now see as the place and role in society of statisticians, and statistical organisations, in all countries.

FISHER, Nicholas I.
(Principal, ValueMetrics Australia; Visiting Professor of Statistics at University of Sydney; Visiting Professor of Geology at Macquarie University)
I shall continue to pursue a number of specific goals: (i) building linkages to people practising Statistics in Business and Industry, who may have little or no access to peer support and statistical resources; (ii) promoting the importance and value of taking a professional approach to the practise of Statistics, partly through Public Awareness initiatives and partly by advocating the value of statistical societies having professional accreditation programmes; and (iii) improving the relationships between the ISI and its Sections and Committees, and between the ISI and national statistical societies.

As far as (i) and (ii) are concerned, I am already involved in a number of initiatives through the ISI and the Statistical Society of Australia. As a recently-elected Vice-President, I have been asked to take responsibility for (iii), and hope to have the opportunity to have a significant impact on these relationships. In a world where statistical effort is, by and large, fragmented, we have a lot to gain from cooperation rather than competition. The ISI is uniquely placed to play a major role in helping currently disparate groups work together to their mutual advantage.

SAPORTA, Gilbert
(Professor of Applied Statistics, Conservatoire National des Arts et Métiers, Paris, France)
The ISI has a long and glorious history and should be the place where all statisticians can meet and work together. I have always been fascinated by the fact that in the same Session, one can meet chief statisticians of NSIs, the most famous researchers in mathematical statistics, university teachers, practitioners of various fields, etc.

Nevertheless, not all statisticians feel concerned about the ISI, and maybe worse, there are growing fields in information technologies, where statistical tools are used or rediscovered and presented under new names, as if statistics were old fashioned.

I think that the ISI should be more reactive to welcoming new developments in its sessions, but also in organising joint meetings with other educational or professional societies. All-purpose sessions with thousands of people are often unattractive for young statisticians, who in general are more interested by specialised meetings with a limited audience. The ISI Sections have a crucial part to play and we should strengthen cooperation between them.

Providing a better knowledge of what is statistics and what statisticians do is a necessary task in many countries: statistics has not always had a clear image. I believe that the ISI should provide material for that, if possible, in several languages, capitalising the works already done by national statistical societies. Such a task should be related with the development of statistical literacy.

Everyone agrees that increasing the membership is a crucial issue for the ISI, as well as the task of getting a more balanced geographical membership, especially for transition and developing countries. We must prove to potential members that being a member will bring them some added value. The prestige of being a member of the ISI is not enough. We have to provide and promote new services for our members, especially by electronic means.

If elected, I will try to serve the ISI in fulfilling these goals, using my experience in national and international statistical societies, as well as in several web-based projects for statistical dissemination.

COUNCIL MEMBERS (2005-2009)
ABU-LIBDEH, Hasan (Palestine)
(President, Palestinian Central Bureau of Statistics, Ramallah)
DROESBEKE, Jean-Jacques (Belgium)
(Professor, Université Libre de Bruxelles)
EL-SHAARAWI, Abdel (Canada and Egypt)
(Research Scientist, National Water Research Institute Burlington, Ontario, Canada)
FUNG, Wing Kam (China, Hong Kong SAR) (Associate Dean, Faculty of Social Sciences; Professor, Department of Statistics and Actuarial Science, University of Hong Kong)
ITO, Akihiko (Japan)
(Chair, Japan Statistical Association; Former Director-General of the Statistics Bureau of Japan)
LINACRE, Susan (Australia)
(Population Statistics, Australian Bureau of Statistics, Belconnen, Australia)
STEGER, Almut (Germany)
(Head, Division of Balance of Payment Statistics, German Central Bank, Frankfurt, Germany)
WILD, Chris (New Zealand)
(Head, Department of Statistics, University of Auckland, Australia)
Individual members of the ISI may nominate candidates by petition provided that:

• Petitions are signed by at least five individual ISI members; 

• Petitions are to be submitted to the ISI Permanent Office no later than twelve months before the next ISI Session, i.e. no later than April 5th, 2004.


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‘Bernoulli’ and ‘International Statistical Review’ Now On-line with Project Euclid

 The ISI Permanent Office is pleased to announce that the Bernoulli journal and the International Statistical Review are now available on-line via Project Euclid (PE), a partnership of independent journals of mathematics and statistics that is designed to address the unique needs of low-cost independent and society journals. It is a non-profit electronic journal publishing initiative of Cornell University Library. The European Mathematical Society, the American Mathematical Society, the Society of Industrial and Applied Mathematics, and the American Statistical Association have all expressed their support for the PE initiative.

Advanced features for users include browsing journal by journal, flexible keyword and full-text searching (journal by journal, any combination of journals, or all PE journals), reference linking, internal linking among PE journals (where appropriate), linking to PE from major discovery sources of the discipline, CrossRef registration, pay-per-view access and mirror sites. 

Long-term retention of data is an important aspect of the project. PE will exercise responsible stewardship of the contributed files, and ongoing research will be applied to the broader challenge of how best to preserve digital maths content.

The ISI will make the International Review available for subscribers via the PE website, beginning in 2004 (volume 71, number 2, will be accessible for viewing in December 2003). In agreement with the Bernoulli Society, the Bernoulli journal (volume 9.5) will also be available for subscribers via the PE website. 

All registered Bernoulli Society (non-ISI) members will receive the electronic version of Bernoulli via the PE website at no additional cost (Bernoulli non-ISI members presently receive the hard copy of the Bernoulli journal, also at no additional cost). Bernoulli Society members, who are also ISI members, will have the option of receiving both the hard copy and/or the web version for one price (Euro 32). Non-members will be required to pay the full price (Euro 261 for the hard copy or electronic version and Euro 350 for both).

ISI members wishing to subscribe to the electronic version of the International Statistical Review can do so by paying Euro 10. The ISI member subscription price to receive both the hard copy and the electronic version is Euro 25. ISI Section members can subscribe to either the hard copy or electronic version for Euro 25 each.

Non-member subscriptions will be priced considerably higher (see below) and such subscribers will have to choose between either the hard copy version or the electronic version (or both). 

Summary of Bernoulli journal subscription pricing:

Publication

Bernoulli members

Non members

Bernoulli journal

free of charge hard copy &/or electronic

Euro 32 hard copy &/or electronic

Euro 350 for both

 

Summary of International Statistical Review pricing:

Publication

ISI members (Electronic)

ISI members (Hard copy &  electronic)

Section members
 (Hard copy or  electronic)

Non member electronic*

Non member  hard copy

International
Statistical Review

Euro 10

Euro 25

Euro 25

Euro 150

Euro 75

 

 

 

All ISI and ISI Section members will have the option of subscribing to the electronic versions of the Bernoulli journal or the International Statistical Review on their 2004 membership dues invoices. 

Subscription Access
PE provides subscriber access to our publications via unique identifier codes (ISI membership subscription numbers for ISI or ISI Section members) or IP numbers (institutional non-member subscriptions). 
Members can gain access to these two publications on the PE website by creating a profile, with a user-generated password, and subsequently inputting their membership number (these ‘subscriber codes’ will be prominently stated on their 2004 membership invoices). They can then access the site from any computer. The ISI will inform PE, in the form of subscription data, which membership numbers are entitled to access the site. Institutional non-members will have to provide IP numbers that will be transmitted to PE.

Instructions for Registering Individual Journal Subscriptions:
1. Create a Euclid user profile by going to the create a profile form
http://ProjectEuclid.org/CreateProfile 
2. Include at least the required information, indicated in red. 
3. In the profile creation form, choose a Euclid User ID that you will remember. Use standard characters (A-Z, a-z, 0-1, underscore, dashes), with no spaces. Remember that your input is case sensitive. 
4. Choose a password (same character restrictions). You may change it later. 
5. In the "Personal Subscription Information" section of the form, select the journal title that you are registering in the pull-down menu. 
6. Below the journal title, enter your membership number (this is stated on your ISI/Section 2004 membership invoice). After registration, you should no longer need this code. 

If you are registering another ISI journal, repeat steps 5 and 6 in a new box. Submit the form by clicking the "Create Profile" button. 

You should now have access to the full-text of the journals registered. On future visits, you need only login to Euclid with your Euclid User ID and password to get access to all your registered journals. 

 


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ISI Historical Membership List Published

 This year marks 150 years since, at the initiative of Adolphe Quetelet, the first International Statistical Congress was convened. This is generally regarded as the beginning of international statistical co-operation, culminating in the founding of the ISI in 1885. Besides, 2003 is exactly 100 years after the first Berlin Session of 1903. To commemorate both events, a Historical Membership List has been compiled. We are grateful to Statistics Norway for printing this reference book. The list contains the names and additional information of all people that have ever been a member of the ISI. For the first time ever, it was possible to compute some statistics on the ISI members; this information is included too in this 92-page booklet.

During the Berlin Session, a free copy of this List was available to all participants. Some 1,500 copies were distributed. Now it is possible for all ISI and Session members to request their free copy, on a first come first serve basis. We will send you one for just the costs of postage and packaging (13). Send your request by mail or e-mail to the ISI Permanent Office, or use the order form on our website:
https://www.isi-web.org/404?hmemb.htm 

Errata to the ISI Historical Membership List
To our regret, during the conversion of the original Word document to a pdf document suitable for a professional printer, a few errors were inadvertently introduced. They all are related to the use of special characters. A leaflet with Errata was compiled. In the hectic days of the Berlin Session, it is possible that your copy of the Historical Membership List was distributed without that leaflet. Therefore, these Errata are published in this Newsletter as well. We apologise for the inconvenience.
Page 6
Left column, line 8 from bottom should read:
… a Czech ‘ ’ or a Polish ‘ ’.
Page 6
Right column, line 18 from top should read:
The Dutch combination ij…
Page 11
Slightly after the middle of the page it should read:
… a  sign refers to the birth date.
Page 40
The name ‘H?yland’ should be ‘Høyland’.
Page 64
The name ‘Riecan’ should be ‘Riean’.


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Free Data Sets on the Web

 Regional Data on the Web 
There are a number of sites that are collections of data for geographic regions. For example, several United Nations regional commissions have data pages, and the African and Asian development banks have data pages on countries in their respective regions. These regional collections usually have more variables than are available in general worldwide collections. This is a brief review of some of these regional data collections.

United Nations Commissions
The United Nations Economic and Social Development site  http://www.un.org/esa/  has a statistics page http://unstats.un.org/unsd/methods/inter-natlinks/sd_intstat.htm  which lists various Economic Commissions. Several of these commissions have economic and social data available on their websites. 
For example, the United Nations Economic Commission for Latin America and the Caribbean, http://www.eclac.cl/ , has statistical yearbooks in Spanish at http://www.eclac.cl/estadisticas/  and in English at http://www.eclac.cl/estadisticas/default.asp?idioma=IN . The 2002 Yearbook includes “main statistical series available on economic and social trends in the countries of the region”. Some of the variables include population, social conditions (e.g. education, doctors per population, dwelling units) and various economic data (e.g. prices, balance of payment, trade, etc.). These data are in pdf format. Some of the data cover the period 1980 to 2002, some include projections, and some are only have recent years available (e.g. 2000 or 2002). The completeness of the longitudinal data varies and, for some variables, there is more complete data for 1980 than there is for more recent years. Many of the tables have data for more than thirty countries, but some tables have data for fewer countries, sometimes twenty or less.
The publications page, http://www.eclac.cl/publicaciones/default.asp?idioma=IN , also includes Demographic Bulletins in the Journals section. Number 69, for example, is “Latin America and Caribbean: Population Estimates and Projections 1950 2050”, which presents estimates and projections of various demographic variables for the thirty-six Latin American and Caribbean countries. The data are estimated starting with 1950 and projected through 2050 at five-year intervals. These data are also in pdf format.
The Economic Commission for Asia and the Pacific (UNESCAP), Statistics Division, http://unescap.org/stat/index.htm  has data for fifty-seven countries or areas from 1980 to 2000 on the “Data for Asia and the Pacific” at http://unescap.org/stat/statdata/apinfig.htm . Some of the countries included here are Afghanistan, Cambodia, Georgia, Japan, Laos, Tajikistan, and others. Each country has its own pdf or excel file, and include data on population, social statistics (infant mortality, literacy, population per physician, etc.), economic, land and energy use and production, and others. Completeness varies quite a bit, for example, as some countries have no data for some variables. UNESCAP publishes statistical yearbooks, but these are not available on the web.
The United Nations Economic Commission for Europe (UNECE) also has a statistics page http://www.unece.org/stats/data.htm , which has several data pages. For example, there is a trend in Europe and North America page, http://www.unece.org/stats/trend/trend_h.htm , which has pdf files for forty-two countries, including Albania, Armenia, Bulgaria, Denmark, France, Malta, the Russian Federation and others. Some of these countries are also included in the UNESCAP data. Each pdf file is two pages, and describes a few demographic variables (e.g. population, infant mortality, household size), economic data and miscellaneous data (e.g. percent parliament seats held by women, Internet users.)
UNECE also has a gender statistics database, a demographic database, and a human settlements (housing and building) database. These databases have data for a wide variety of variables. For example, the gender statistics database includes crime (e.g. clear up rate for rape, convicted criminals by sex, etc.), education (students and teachers by sex, etc.) and various demographic and economic characteristics. Data completeness varies. For example, in the gender statistics database, refugees by age and sex appears to be available only for Ireland and the Russian Federation, while population by age and sex is available for thirty-eight countries, including Canada and the United States, amongst many eastern and western European states.

Development Banks
The African Development Bank, at http://www.afdb.org/home.htm , has a data page at http://www.afdb.org/knowledge/statistics/statistics_indicators_selected.htm . This page has pfd files showing human development indicators (e.g. population, mortality, health care, school enrollment, agricultural production), macroeconomic indicators (e.g. income, growth, inflation) and external sector economic indicators for fifty-three countries including Algeria, Egypt, Eritrea, Ghana, Liberia, South Africa, Uganda and others. The data are presented as cross country tables, and as individual files for each country, for time periods including 1980, 1985 and 1999. Data for many variables are fairly complete, at least for the most recent years. Several of the human development variables are missing data for up to fifteen countries (and, in a few cases, more).
The Asian Development Bank at http://www.adb.org/default.asp  has a statistics page at http://www.adb.org/Statistics/default.asp . This page presents data in various forms. For example, the 2002 Key Indicators, at http://www.adb.org/Statistics/ki.asp , presents data for about forty countries, by country and region, for variables including socio-demographics, labour force and employment, production, energy, and other economic data. These data are presented in both pdf format and excel. Regional data are presented for varying years, such as 1990 and the most recent year, or 1997, 1998 and 1999. Most countries have data for the recent years.
The Caribbean Development Bank at http://www.caribank.org/  focuses mainly on economic variables, but includes a few socio-demographic variables. There are data for seventeen countries, including the Bahamas, Cayman Islands, Belize, and others. The data is presented as one pdf file, showing a number of cross country tables, and tables for each country. This file is available in “publications”, then “economic indicators”. The country tables include data for 1991 to 2002. The social variables include demographics such as household size, birth and death rates, school enrollment and doctors per 1,000 people. Economic variables include GDP growth, GDP per capita, sectoral composition of GDP, as well as others. As with all data, completeness of the data varies by country and by variable. For example, the Bahamas contains no sectoral composition data from 1996 to 2002, while Barbados has complete data from 1991 to 2001.
The Caribbean Development Banks also has a report, “Selected Indicators of Development (1960 1998) May 2000”, available through “publications” and then “books/reports”, or directly at http://www.caribank.org/downloads/CDB_Members.pdf . This report presents data at ten-year intervals for selected demographic and economic variables with, as above, varying degrees of completeness.

Other Regional Sources
Several other organisations have data, including the OECD and several others listed on the Open Directory page http://dmoz.org/Society/Government/Multilateral/Regional/ . Several of these organisations list only a limited number of countries, from ten to twenty; others list more.
The Organisation for Economic Co operation and Development (OECD), at http://www.oecd.org/home/  has a good deal of data about its member countries. These are not a region, but instead constitute a group of countries, including, amongst others, Australia, Austria, Canada, the Czech Republic, Denmark, Hungary, Japan, Mexico, Norway, Poland, Turkey, UK, and the US. One data source is available by clicking on “Frequently Requested Statistics”, then on “OECD in Figures, July 2002 Edition”. This is also available at http://www.oecd.org/document/62/0,2340,en_2649_201185_2345918_1_1_1_1,00.html . The OECD has figures in a pdf file,
  http://www1.oecd.org/publications/e-book/0102071E.PDF . This report has data on a large number of economic variables, as well as agriculture and food, education and skills, energy, environment, health, migration, nuclear energy, and basic demographics. Many of the tables show data for the current year, or for 1990 and 2000, and most tables are fairly complete.
The European Union (EU) http://europa.eu.int/index_en.htm  has a statistics page (click on “information sources” and then “statistics”). This site includes selected tables from the Eurostat Yearbook 2002. From the statistics page, click on “data”, then “long term indicators”, then “Eurostat Yearbook Selection”. These tables have demographic data (e.g. population, education, birth rate, mortality, etc.), and many economic variables (poverty, trade, GDP, etc.). Most of this data are for 1990 to 2000, and most are complete for most countries for most years. The statistics page also has a report, “Fifty Years of Figures on Europe Data 1952 2001”, which includes data on demographics, transportation, tourism, and many economic variables. As with many other reports, there is varying degrees of completeness in the data. All of the data available on this site are pdf files. The “Fifty Years of Figures” report is one large pdf file, almost two MB.
The Association of Southeast Asian Nations, http://www.aseansec.org/ , has data for ten countries, including Brunei, Cambodia, Singapore, and others. The Statistics Yearbook, at http://www.aseansec.org/macroeconomic/yearbook.htm , has excel files for population (total, by age, urban, etc.), education, and a variety of economic variables. Some data are just for the current year, some show 1980 to 2000.
The Andean Community, at http://www.comunidadandina.org/endex.htm , has demographic, economic and social indicators for Western Europe and for five Andean countries (Bolivia, Columbia, Ecuador, Peru, and Venezuela), in one large (two MB) pdf file, listed on their home page. Some of these variables include population, fertility, mortality, migration, trade, foreign direct investment, finance and transport.
Finally, the Statistical, Economic and Social Research and Training Centre for Islamic Countries (SESRTCIC), at http://www.sesrtcic.org/statistics/default.shtml , is not listed in the open directory page, but provides a variety of data about its member states. These fifty-seven states include Afghanistan, Bahrain, Chad, Egypt, Iran, Kyrgyzstan, Morocco, Qatar, Syria, Turkey and Uzbekistan, amongst others. The database has data for agriculture (e.g. arable land, cereal produced), demography, education, energy and mining, health, tourism and various economic areas. The data are available through query forms, either requesting data by country, or data by variable, and the queries produce tables of the data. Not all countries have data for each variable. Also, this database has time series data, from 1975 to 2002, but again, not all countries have data for all years. Just to mention, there may be some difficulty in accessing the databases using Netscape.

Gene Shackman


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Conferences, Meetings & Calls for Papers

The Department of Statistics & Actuarial Science of the University of Aegean is pleased to host the Third Conference in Actuarial Science and Finance, to be held on Samos, from September 2-5, 2004.
This event is jointly organised with the Katholieke Universiteit Leuven (Department of Applied Economics and Department of Mathematics), the Université Catholique de Louvain (Institute of Statistics and Actuarial Research Group) and the University of Copenhagen (Laboratory of Actuarial Mathematics).
The Conference allows the presentation of the latest works in the area of actuarial science and finance. It is open to all people interested in actuarial science and finance, possibly from universities, insurance companies, banks, consulting firms or regulatory authorities. The Conference aims to facilitate the contact and the communication between the practicians and the researchers.
The topics of the sections include: 
• Extremes and Large Deviations in Actuarial Science - Chair J. Teugels
• Non-life Insurance - Chair R. Verrall
• Advances in Incomplete Markets - Chair Th. Zariphopoulou
• Modelling Dependence in Actuarial Science - Chair Th. Mikosch
• Risk and Control - Chair S. Asmussen 
• Life, Pension and Health Insurance - Chair H. Gerber 

There will be four short courses. Two before the Conference: 
August 30th - September 1st 
1. Stochastic Claims Reserving, by R.J. Verrall
2. Stochastic Control Applied to Actuarial Problems, by H. Schmidli

and the other two after the Conference: September 6th - September 8th 

3. Risk Measures and Optimal Portfolio Selection (with applications to elliptical distributions), by J. Dhaene and E. Valdez 

4. Advanced Statistical Methods for Insurance, by M. Denuit

Postgraduate students and young researchers are especially welcome.

For further information, please refer to http://www.stat.ucl.ac.be/Samos2004/ 


MEXSAI

Measuring Sustainable Agricultural Indicators

Cancun, Q. R., Mexico
2 - 4 November, 2004
ICAS III

Conference Announcement


The 21st century represents the era of information and knowledge. Agriculture information systems around the world are changing as fast as technology. 
Agricultural statistics are critical to all nations’ statistical systems. New paradigms are dramatically changing the focus of agricultural statistics. For example, Mexico’s focus has changed from strictly food and agriculture to rural sustainable development. Technological advancements can also shape agricultural systems by better measuring variables that directly impact sustainable agriculture. For instance, satellite imagery is being used to more accurately assess land use variables, such as planted areas. 

With telecommunications and new technology, world market information can be determined instantly from anywhere in the world. The two previous international conferences covered many important issues pertaining to the continuing evolution of agricultural statistics systems. 
In ICAS III, the main theme will be defining and measuring sustainable agricultural indicators, with an emphasis on rural development. The conference will cover economic sustainability indicators, such as profits from agricultural products and environmental sustainability indicators, such as the use and protection of forests, water, and other natural resources. Finally, conference topics will address the development of social sustainability indicators, such as the impact of education, health and cultural activities on rural households and their social welfare.

Conference Topics:
» Rural Sector Agricultural Sustainability Indicators: - Economic - Environmental - Social 
» Free Trade and Its Impact on Agricultural Statistics for Underdeveloped, Developing, and Developed Countries 
» Poverty in the Rural Sector 
» International Standards for Agricultural Statistics 
» Household versus Farm as a Measurement Unit 
» New Developments in Statistical Methodology 
» New Developments in Census and Survey Methodology 
» Advancements in Information Technology 
For further information, consult our website http://www.sagarpa.gob.mx/mexsai  or contact the organising committee: 
Ulises Miramontes 
SIAP/SAGARPA, 
Benjamin Franklin 146 Col., 
Escandon, Mexico, D. F., 
11800, Mexico 
Telephone (52) 5555157329 and 5552724335 
e-mail: umiramontes@siea.sagarpa.gob.mx
mexsai@siea.sagarpa.gob.mx 

SPRUCE will be holding another of its Advanced Workshops. This time in Costa do Estoril, Lisbon, Portugal from 24-27 March 2004. The Workshop will be on the theme of Spatial/Temporal Models and Methods for Environmental Problems.

SPRUCE plays a leading international role in stimulating research and development in statistical models and methods for environmental issues, from global warming, to pollution and conservation of rare resources. SPRUCE has organised six major International Conferences, and held two Advanced Workshops, on relevant Environmental Statistics themes; it has also published (with the leading international publishers John Wiley and Springer-Verlag) five research-level books in the field of Statistics for the Environment. 

The Advanced Workshop will be concerned, inter alia, with the following: 
• applications: traditional environmental modeling, climatology and meteorology, epidemiology and health, physical systems, biology and agriculture
• modelling principles: heuristic/empirical ad hoc approaches, harmonic frequency-based models, kriging and Kalman filter, space-time point process models, hierarchical Bayesian techniques.

Leading international speakers are expected to include: Paul Blackwell, Patrick Brown, Noel Cressie, Peter Diggle, Tilmann Gneiting, Gudmund Host, Moira Mugglestone, Doug Nychka, Sujit Sahu, and Jim Zidek.

As with previous Advanced Workshops, about 50% of the time will be devoted to presentations and about 50% to themed discussion groups considering distinct aspects of the Workshop theme.

For further information, see http://spruce.deio.fc.ul.pt . To register interest in attending, contact kfturkman@fc.ul.pt  or vic.barnett@ntu.ac.uk  as soon as possible.


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Check your Personal Data (and Some Extra if Possible!)
The Continuing Story…

Correct information about our members is of vital importance to our functioning. Therefore, all participants of the 2003 Berlin Session were invited to visit the ISI booth and check their personal data in both the ISI Membership Directory and the Historical Membership List. Many people did so, and we are very grateful for their effort. We now repeat that request. We invite you to check your data as they were printed in both publications. All additions and corrections are welcome, also those referring to others! Please send any comments to the ISI Permanent Office, preferably by e-mail ( @cbs.nl).
May we ask your special attention to e-mail addresses? Too many of them are still missing in our database. Apart from that, it is well known that nothing changes as frequently as e-mail addresses. E-mail has become an indispensable means of contact with our members, because of its speed and low costs. Help us to have these addresses as complete as possible.


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News from ISI Sections:
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Volume 27 No 2 (80) 2003
Volume 27 No 1 (79) 2003
Volume 26 No 3 (78) 2002
Volume 26 No 2 (77) 2002
Volume 26 No 1 (76) 2002
Volume 25 No 3 (75) 2001

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News from ISI sections Volume 27, No. 3 (81) 2003